Washington Redskins vs. New England Patriots
The Washington Redskins and the New England Patriots hook up on Sunday in Washington. The Patriots are -7.5 favorites over the Redskins with an over/under point total set at 48.
It’s been another rough year for the Washington Redskins as they seem to be able to compete but in the end they fail to compete for an entire four quarters. Mike Shanahan was hired in January of 2010 to turn the Redskins around but despite bold roster moves the team seems to be stuck in idle. Rex Grossman has completed 57.9 percent of his passes with 10 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. Roy Helu has taken over the running game and he’s averaging 4.7 yards per carry and he has two touchdowns and he has caught 42 passes. Fred Davis has 59 catches and three touchdowns, Jabar Gaffney has 46 catches and three touchdowns, and Santana Moss has 34 catches. Defensively the Redskins have 33 sacks, 13 fumble recoveries, and eight interceptions and they have a minus 13 turnover ratio and they allow 325.3 yards and 21.3 points. London Fletcher has 124 tackles, DeAngelo Hall has 74 tackles, and Ryan Kerrigan has 6.5 sacks. The Redskins seem to have a decent group of core players but they are clearly missing some pieces.
The New England Patriots are two games clear in the AFC East and with wins over the Jets they are pretty close to wrapping up the division. With a first round bye probably coming right down to the end as New England is tied with Baltimore and Pittsburgh don’t look for the Pats to start resting players just yet. Tom Brady is writing another chapter in his Hall of Fame career as he has completed 66.7 percent of his passes for 3,916 yards with 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. BenJarvus Green-Ellis leads the rushing attack averaging 3.8 tough yards per carry and scoring eight touchdowns while Stevan Ridley, Danny Woodhead, and Kevin Faulk are all getting scattered carries. Wes Welker is having another big year with 93 catches and eight touchdowns, Rob Gronkowski has 65 catches with 13 going for touchdowns, and Aaron Hernandez has 54 catches and five touchdowns. Defensively the Patriots have 27 sacks, five fumble recoveries, and 17 interceptions and a plus eight turnover ratio while they are allowing 412.1 yards and 20.6 points per game.
Washington is 2-6 against the spread in their last eight games as an underdog, 1-4 against the spread in their last five home games, and 1-4 against the spread against a team with a winning record. New England 5-1 against the spread against a team with a losing record, 7-2 against the spread following a game which they didn’t cover, and 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games as a road favorite.
The total in this one is set at an aggressive 48 points and while the Pats offense is prolific, I look for Washington to control the ball on the ground to shorten the game and it should keep the score under.