Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts

The Indianapolis Colts continue to hunt for their first win of the year as they host the Tennessee Titans.  The Titans are -7 point favorites over the Colts with an over/under point total set at 40.5.

It’s been a train wreck of a year for the Indianapolis Colts and they will be facing plenty of big decisions over the next few months. Without Peyton Manning the Colts just haven’t been close to being the same and if football is the ultimate team sport then this is a team in disarray. It’s Dan Orlovsky’s turn to play QB and last week was typical as he was a dreadful 17 of 37 for 136 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Donald Brown, Joseph Addai, and Delone Carter have been sharing time in the backfield with limited success with no one back going over 500 yards for the year. Pierre Garcon has 60 catches and six touchdowns, Reggie Wayne has 56 catches, and Austin Collie has 42 catches as in less than a season of the NFL’s most feared passing games has evaporated. The Indianapolis defense spends a lot of time on the field and they have 21 sacks, 10 fumble recoveries, and six interceptions with a minus 12 turnover ratio and they allow 384.8 yards and 29.4 points per game. Pat Angerer has 120 tackles, Antoine Bethea has 113 tackles, and Kavell Conner has 91 tackles. The Colts embarrassing play has backed this organization into a corner as with the Super Bowl in their home stadium this year the team couldn’t be any further away from the game.

The Tennessee Titans still are fighting for a playoff spot and their best chance comes with winning out their final three games. The Titans had chances last week against New Orleans but were unable to get it done so they are going to need help if they are going to make the playoffs. Matt Hasselbeck was forced to leave the game against New Orleans with an ankle injury but he returned briefly after Jake Locker was decleated and needed a spell to regain his senses so QB is up in the air for this one. Chris Johnson is regaining his form and will be called on to do more as Javon Ringer is now out for the year. Nate Washington is the leading receiver with 59 catches and five touchdowns and Damian Williams and Lavelle Hawkins are also contributing. The Titans defense has 24 sacks, 13 fumble recoveries, and 10 interceptions with a plus five turnover ratio and they allow 362.2 yards and 19.3 points per game. Jason McCourty has 87 tackles, Jordan Babineaux has 79 tackles, and Courtland Finnegan has 63 tackles. Tennessee closes the season out with Jacksonville and then Houston.

Indianapolis is 2-7 against the spread in their last nine games overall, 1-4 against the spread in their last five games as a home underdog, and 0-4 against the spread in their last four home games. Tennessee is 5-0 against the spread against a team with a losing record, 4-1 against the spread in their last five games overall, and 1-4 against the spread as a road favorite. The home team has covered in five of the last seven meetings of these two.

With the Colts offense being inept and with Tennessee banged up at QB and just about every other spot on offense look for a very low scoring game and I don’t see this one even coming close to the total of 40.5 which has been put on this game and my pick will be on the under.

Pick

Under 40.5

December 16, 2011 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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