St. Louis Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers

The San Francisco 49ers look to earn a first round bye in the NFC playoffs as they visit the St. Louis Rams to close out their NFL regular season schedule.  The 49ers are -10.5 point favorites over the Rams with an over/under point total set at 35.5

It’s been another disaster of a season for the St. Louis Rams as hopes for improvement and a possible playoff run will end with a season plagued by injuries and a possible number one overall draft choice. While last season the Rams improved to 7-9 and were on the cusp of making the playoffs this season they have won just twice and have lost their last six games in a row. Sam Bradford has all of the tools but he has been injured as has his backup A.J. Feeley so it should be Kellen Clemmons who has played decently in relief but with all of the QB’s available in this draft St. Louis will have plenty of decisions to make. Steven Jackson has been a workhorse once again rushing for 1,069 yards and five touchdowns with Cadillac Williams seeing time in relief. Brandon Lloyd has 45 catches and four touchdowns, Brandon Gibson has 35 catches, but Austin Pettis is suspended for the remainder of the year. The Rams defense has 36 sacks, 15 fumble recoveries, and 12 interceptions with a minus three turnover ratio and they allow 360.9 yards per game and 24.9 points. James Laurinaitis has 133 tackles, Quintin Mikell has 84 tackles, and Chris Long has 13 sacks. St. Louis has some quality young players but right now they look to be more than just a few players away from being competitive.

The San Francisco 49ers have been one of the NFL’s biggest surprises this season and aside from just being an improved team they are one of the better teams in the NFL. Jim Harbaugh has had a monster first year as an NFL Head Coach and with a win the Niners secure a first round bye in the playoffs. QB Alex Smith has been one of the keys to success as he has efficiently thrown for 16 touchdowns and five interceptions. Frank Gore has been a force in the backfield rushing for 1,202 yards and eight touchdowns while Kendall Hunter has emerged as an effective backup. Micahael Crabtree has 64 catches and Vernon Davis has 59 catches and six touchdowns but the 49ers may be a target or two short. Defensively San Francisco has 38 sacks, 19 fumble recoveries, and 21 interceptions with a plus 26 turnover ratio and they allow 308.1 yards and 13.5 points per game. NaVorro Bowman has 133 tackles, Patrick Willis has been injured but has 93 tackles, and Aldon Smith has 14 sacks. The 49ers get it done with a running game and defense, a formula that has worked for as long as football has been a game.

St. Louis is 3-13 against the spread in their last 13 against NFC teams, 1-7-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 1-5-1 against the spread in their last seven home games. San Francisco is 5-1-1 against the spread against a team with a losing record, 5-1 against the spread against the NFC West, and 5-2 against the spread in their last seven road games. The home team is 5-2 against the spread in the last seven meetings of these two.

I like the 49ers to roll and cover the 10.5 point spread in this game.

Pick

San Francisco 49ers -10.5 St. Louis Rams

December 28, 2011 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

Comments are closed.