St. Louis Rams vs. Cincinnati Bengals

The Cincinnati Bengals look to get back into the playoff race as they visit the St. Louis Rams.  The Bengals are -6.5 point favorites over the Rams with an over/under point total set at 38.5.

While things looked to be moving forward last season for the St.Louis Rams they look to be headed in reverse in a hurry this season. Last year the Rams were in the playoff hunt until the final game of the season, this year the Rams didn’t even make it to the midpoint of the season without being virtually eliminated. Sam Bradford has been battered completing just 53.5 percent of his passes with six touchdowns and six interceptions. Steven Jackson has been a tireless workhorse rushing for 4.4 yards per carry for 895 yards and five touchdowns. Brandon Lloyd has 37 catches, Brandon Gibson has 35 catches, and Austin Pettis is getting into the mix with 23 catches. Defensively the Rams have 35 sacks, 12 fumble recoveries, and 10 interceptions with a minus five turnover ratio and they allow 365.6 yards and 25.1 points per game. James Laurinaitis has 114 tackles, Darian Stewart has 69 tackles, and Chris Long has 12 sacks. The Rams will be drafting very high once again this year and there will be some big decisions to be made this off season.

The Cincinnati Bengals may have let their playoff chances slip away but they are still in the hunt and with a little bit of help they have a chance to get right back in it. The Bengals blew their playoff position with two seconds left against Houston as T.J. Yates threw a TD pass in front of one of the smallest home crowds for the Bengals in years. Andy Dalton has completed 59 percent of his passes with 18 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Cedric Benson is averaging 4.0 yards per carry for 883 yards and four touchdowns. A.J. Green has been all that was billed catching 55 passes with seven touchdowns, Jermaine Gresham has 43 catches and five touchdowns, and Jerome Simpson has 38 catches. Defensively the Bengals have 36 sacks, 17 fumble recoveries, and seven interceptions with a plus one turnover ratio and they allow 314.8 yards and 20.8 points per game. Thomas Howard has 78 tackles, Reggie Nelson has 75 tackles, and Rey Maualuga has 71 tackles. The Bengals close out the season with the Cardinals and Ravens, both at home.

St. Louis is 2-8 against the spread following a loss, 1-5 against the spread in their last six home games, and 2-5 against the spread as a home underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. Cincinnati is 6-1-1 against the spread in their last eight road games, 5-1 against the spread against a team with a losing record, and 0-4-1 against the spread in their last five games overall. St. Louis has covered the last four times these two teams have met.

Neither of these offenses have been very effective and with the total set at 38.5 I see this one staying under the total and that will be my pick for this game.

Pick

Under 38.5

December 16, 2011 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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