NY Giants vs. Green Bay Packers

The New York Giants look to halt their downward spiral as they host the undefeated defending Super Bowl Champion Green Bay Packers.  The Packers are -6 point favorites over the Giants with an over/under point total set 52.5.

The New York Giants started the season strong and looked to be in control of the NFC East but a three game losing streak later and they are falling back in the pack and have their work cut out for them if they hope to be part of the playoffs. On the surface Eli Manning’s numbers look good with a 62.9 completion percentage for 3,358 yards with 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions but it isn’t producing wins of late. Ahmad Bradshaw has been sidelined of late and he’s day-to-day but he was averaging 4.0 yards per carry and he has five touchdowns and it has been Brandon Jacobs carrying the load with a 3.1 yards per carry average and four touchdowns. Victor Cruz is turning into a top receiver with 55 catches and seven touchdowns, Hakeem Nicks has 50 catches and four scores, and the Giants have been forced to use a whole slew of receivers as the injury list looks to grow each week. The New York defense has 31 sacks, 10 fumble recoveries, and 14 interceptions and have a plus five turnover margin while allowing 362.1 yards and 22.8 points per game. Antrel Rolle has 68 tackles, Jason Pierre-Paul has 10.5 sacks, and Kenny Phillips has 66 tackles but it’s clear this unit has missed Michael Boley who is banged up and is still day-to-day. The Giants are just a game back in the East and still have a solid chance to make the playoffs but they need to start winning now.

The Green Bay Packers look to be on a mission to be back to back Super Bowl Champs but even though they are undefeated through 11 games they know they still have plenty to go to accomplish their goals. Aaron Rodgers looks to be the frontrunner for the MVP this season as he has completed 71.8 percent of his passes for 3,475 yards with 33 touchdowns and four interceptions. The Packers are mixing it up in the backfield as James Starks is averaging 4.5 yards per carry and Ryan Grant averages 3.6 but as of late Brandon Saine is seeing an increased role carrying the ball and catching passes out of the backfield. Greg Jennings has been unstoppable catching 58 passes for 835 yards and five touchdowns, Jordy Nelson has 44 catches and nine touchdowns, and Jermichael Finley has 36 catches and five touchdowns. Defensively Green Bay has 25 sacks, seven fumble recoveries, and 22 interceptions for a plus 15 turnover margin and they are allowing 393.4 yards and 20.6 yards. Desmond Bishop has 97 tackles and five sacks, Morgan Burnett has 71 tackles and three interceptions, and Charles Woodson has six interceptions as the Packers have given up a lot of yards but not so many points. While the Green Bay offense has been impressive it has been their plus 15 turnover margin that has had the biggest impact.

New York is 1-5-1 against the spread in their last seven games overall, 1-6-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 0-4 against the spread in their last four against NFC teams. Green Bay is 6-0 against the spread against a team with a winning record, 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 road games, and 7-3 against the spread following a cover. The road team has covered in five of the last six meetings of these two.

The total in this one is set at 52.5 and I still don’t see it as high enough as barring some real bad weather this one goes over

Pick

Over 52.5

December 1, 2011 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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