New York Jets vs. New York Giants

The NFL fans in New York get and early Christmas present as the New York Giants and the New York Jets meet in on Christmas Eve.  The Jets are -3 point favorites over the Giants with an over/under point total set at 47.

The New York Jets need to win and win now as last year’s runner ups in the AFC could be on the outside looking in when the playoffs roll around. The Jets are tied with the Bengals for the final Wild Card spot in the AFC but with a loss here they could be buried in a tie with three or four other teams all looking for help. The bottom line is the Jets have been horrible on the road this year and they were horrible again last sounding getting blown out in Philadelphia by the Eagles. Mark Sanchez has 23 touchdowns and 13 interceptions but he has still completed just 56.9 percent of his passes. The New York running game has been less than expected as Shonn Greene averages 4.2 yards per carry and has six touchdowns and LaDanian Tomlinson has a 3.3 yards per carry average. Dustin Keller leads the Jets in catches with 50 and Santonio Holmes and Plaxico Burress each have eight touchdown catches. The Jets defense allows 317.9 yards and 22.5 points per game and are hitters with 19 forced fumbles and 32 sacks. Eric Smith has 83 tackles and David Harris has 80 while Darrelle Revis has four interceptions. Over the past few seasons the Jets have played well in crunch time and crunch time has arrived.

The New York Giants blew a golden opportunity to put a stranglehold on the NFC East as they were soundly defeated by the Washington Redskins last Sunday but if they win out they will still win the division and go to the playoffs. Since the Giants defeated the Cowboys once this season and are just a game behind Dallas in the standings if they can finish with the same record or better record by beating Dallas next week then they would have the edge in the head to head tiebreaker. Eli Manning entered thsis eason looking for respect and he has earned plenty completing 61.6 percent of his passes for 25 touchdowns and 15 interceptions but in games like last week it seems the tipped balls don’t go his way and his receiver still drop some easy ones. Ahmad Bradshaw’s presence in the backfield makes the Giants offense more effective especially Brandon Jacobs as he becomes more of a change of pace than the focus. Victor Cruz and Hakeem Nicks have developed into a nice receiver tandem complimented by Mario Manningham but they will need to make all of the catches against a tough Jets secondary. Statistically the Giants defense is one of the worst in the NFL allowing 385.1 yards per game and 26.6 points. Antrel Rolle has 81 tackles, Michael Boley has 80 despite being injured, and Jason Pierre-Paul has emerged as one of New York’s top defenders with 76 tackles and 13.5 sacks. While this is a road game for the Giants it will be held in their home stadium and with the Jets’ struggles on the road they will need to try and make them feel like the visitors.

The Jets are 1-5 against the spread following a loss, 1-4 against the spread after allowing more than 30 points their previous game, and 4-0 against the spread in their last four Saturday games. The Giants are 9-2-1 against the spread in their last 12 games as a road underdog of up to three points, 6-2-2 against the spread following a double digit home loss, and 6-1 against the spread in their last seven Saturday games. The Giants are 3-0-1 against the spread in the last four meetings of these two.

This game being on Saturday isn’t going to bother anyone here and while it always feels odd with one of these two being a road team in their own stadium it shouldn’t be much of a factor here either. I see getting points with the Giants almost like getting points with the home team in a game where I like them even if it was a pick.

Pick

New York Giants +3 New York Jets

December 23, 2011 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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