New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins

The Miami Dolphins and the New York Jets meet in a rivalry game to close out their 2011 NFL regular seasons in South Florida.  The Dolphins are -1 point favorites over the Jets with an over/under point total set at 42.

It was a tale of two seasons for the Miami Dolphins with a miserable start followed a solid second half of the season making everyone wonder what happened the first half. Head Coach Tony Sporano has been shown the door and Todd Bowles has taken over on an interim basis but more than likely there are changes on the way in Miami. Matt Moore has been decent at QB filling in after Chad Henne went down but Miami still may be thinking QB in the upcoming NFL Draft though Moore has completed 59.8 percent of his passes with 15 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Reggie Bush has rushed for over 1,000 yards for the first time in his NFL career as he’s averaged 5.0 yards per carry while also catching 43 passes. Brandon Marshall has had a comeback year with 77 catches for 1,177 yards and six touchdowns, Davone Bess has 45 catches, and Brian Hartline has 33 catches. Defensively Miami has 39 sacks, nine fumble recoveries, and 13 interceptions with a minus seven turnover ratio and they allow 343.2 yards and 19.7 points per game. Yeremiah Bell has 103 tackles, Karlos Dansby has 101 tackles, and Cameron Wake has 8.5 sacks. Miami would like nothing more than to drive the final nail in the coffin of the Jets’ season.

The New York Jets took a rough loss last Sunday at home to the New York Giants and with it Rex Ryan’s team took their playoff chances out of their own hands. At this point the Jets’ playoff hopes are slim as they need a win plus losses by Tennessee, and Cincinnati plus a loss by either Oakland or Denver. Mark Sanchez has had his share of ups and downs this season as he has completed 56.2 percent of his passes with 24 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. Shonn Greene has rushed for 999 yards and six touchdowns while LaDanian Tomlinson looks to be at the end of his Hall of Fame career. Dustin Keller has 58 catches and four touchdowns, Santonio Holmes has 51 catches and eight touchdowns, and Plaxico Burress has 41 catches and eight touchdowns. Defensively New York has 34 sacks, 19 fumble recoveries, and 17 interceptions and they allow 318.9 yards and 22.9 points per game. Eric Smith has 85 tackles, David Harris has 84 tackles and four interceptions, and Darrelle Revis has four interceptions. Even if the Jets do make the playoffs this is a team that seriously will re-evaluate itself as an organization at the end of the year.

Miami is 5-0 against the spread in their last five games against AFC teams, 9-30 against the spread as a home favorite, and 6-0 against the spread in their last six games against a team with a winning record. New York is 5-2 against the spread against a team with a losing record, 1-4 against the spread in their last five games as a road underdog, and 9-2 against the spread as a road underdog of up to three points. The road team is 7-2-1 against the spread in the last 10 meetings of these two and the underdog has covered in five of the last six meetings.

With the total at 42 the odds makers don’t expect much scoring here and neither do I as I see this one coming in under the total.

Pick

Under 42

December 27, 2011 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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