Kansas City Chiefs vs. Green Bay Packers

The Kansas City Chiefs enter the post Todd Haley era as they host the Green Bay Packers.  The Packers are -14 point favorites over the Chiefs with an over/under point total set at 46.5.

The season got uglier for the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday when Head Coach Todd Haley was fired after leading them to the AFC West just a year ago and suffering through a year where he lost his QB, All Pro running back, and best defensive player along with other injuries across the roster. Romeo Crennel will take over leading the team on an interim basis for at least the final three games for the season. Tyler Palko has taken over at QB and he has been a disaster completing 59.7 percent of his passes with two touchdowns and seven interceptions. Jackie Battle is the primary ball carrier gaining 4.0 yards per carry while Thomas Jones has slipped to a 3.0 yards per carry average. Dwayne Bowe has 65 catches, Steve Breaston has 52 catches, and Dexter McCluster has 36 catches as without starting QB Matt Cassel the passing game overall has suffered. Defensively the Chiefs have 23 sacks, 10 fumble recoveries, and 17 interceptions with a minus three turnover ratio and they allow 341.8 yards and 23.5 points per game. Derrick Johnson has 112 tackles, Jovan Belcher has 74 tackles, and Tamba Hali has nine sacks. It will be interesting to see how the season plays out as Kansas City may be due for yet another overhaul.

The Green Bay Packers are undefeated and are three wins away from perfection and immortality. While the beat goes on for the Pack they are starting to get hit with some injuries so being a win away from clinching home field advantage it will be interesting to see if the starters continue to play once they have nothing that matters to really play for.  Aaron Rodgers is having a monster year which will probably lead to the MVP Award as he has completed 69.6 percent of his passes for 4,125 yards with 39 touchdowns and six interceptions. James Starks and Brandon Saine are banged up in the backfield so it’s Ryan Grant back to the forefront. Greg Jennings is also out so it will be up to Jordy Nelson, Jermichael Finley, and Donald Driver to step it up but it is injuries like these will not help Green Bay’s cause to play their starters all the way in pursuit of the perfect season. Defensively the Packers have 27 sacks, nine fumble recoveries, and 27 interceptions with a plus 20 turnover ratio and they allow 394.5 yards and 21.4 points per game. Desmond Bishop has 97 tackles and five sacks, Margon Burnett has 87 tackles, and Charles Woodson has seven interceptions. With three games left the Green Bay organization will face some big decisions.

Kansas City is 5-1 against the spread in their last six games as a home underdog, 12-4 against the spread in their last 16 games as an underdog of 10.5 or more, and 1-5 against the spread in their last six home games against a team with a winning road record. Green Bay is 11-4 against the spread in their last 15 games as a favorite, 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 road games, and 2-5 against the spread in their last seven road games against a team with a losing home record.

The spread in this one has the Packers favored by two touchdowns and it’s rising. While the Chiefs have risen to the occasion several times this year and played well when it has been least expected, this is clearly a team that is done and playing against a well-oiled machine that despite the injuries will roll here.

Pick

Green Bay Packers -14 Kansas City Chiefs

December 15, 2011 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

Comments are closed.