Hawaii Warriors vs. BYU Cougars

The Hawaii Warriors and the BYU Cougars finish off their regular seasons as they meet in Hawaii.  The Cougars are -8 point favorites over the Cougars with an over/under point total set at 52.5.

It’s been a disappointing year for Greg McMackin and the Hawaii Warriors as this program used to double digit wins won’t come even close to that figure this season. While Hawaii has six wins, because of the extra game they play they are in danger of finishing the season with a losing record if they don’t come up with the upset win here. David Graves has taken over at QB for Bryant Moniz whi is gone for the season and thus far Graves has completed 57.5 percent of his passes with four touchdowns and two interceptions. Joey Iosefa is the Warriors leading rusher averaging 5.1 yards per carry for 541 yards with seven touchdowns. Billy Ray Stutzman has 71 catches for 860 yards and four touchdowns, Royce Pollard has 66 catches and eight touchdowns, and Jeremiah Ostrowski has 58 catches and four scores to lead the Hawaii receivers. Defensively the Warriors have 14 interceptions, 10 fumble recoveries, and 32 sacks for a minus one turnover difference. Corey Paredes has 102 tackles, Aaron Brown has 95 tackles, and Art Laurel has nine sacks. In all fairness Hawaii has had a slew of injuries this year but this performance has been well below the standard that has been set.

The BYU Cougars got off to a slow start this season but since then Bronco Mendenhall’s team has won seven of their last eight games as they close out their first season as an Independent. Jake Heaps has been solid at QB and with Riley Nelson down with bruised ribs it’s clearly his team and he has completed 57.4 percent of his passes for nine touchdowns and eight interceptions. J.J. Di Luigi has been the workhorse in the backfield averaging 5.3 yards per carry and scoring three touchdowns while Michael Alisa is averaging 5.6 yards per carry with three touchdowns and Bryan Kariya has found the endzone five times on the ground.  Cody Hoffman has 46 catches and six touchdowns, Ross Apo has 30 catches and seven touchdowns, and JD Falslev has 24 catches and two touchdowns. The BYU defense has 13 interceptions, nine fumble recoveries, and 19 sacks for a minus three turnover difference. Brandon Ogletree has 63 tackles, Kyle Van Noy has 55 tackles and five sacks, and Uona Kaveinga has 49 tackles. BYU has been on a nice run but most of their wins have come against teams who won’t be going to a bowl game this year while their losses are all against better teams.

Hawaii is 5-2 against the spread in their last seven home games against a team with a winning road record, 1-4 against the spread in their last five non-conference games, and 1-6 against the spread in their last seven games overall. BYU is 4-0 against the spread in their last four non-conference games, 6-1 against the spread in their last seven road games, and 2-6 against the spread in their last eight games against WAC teams. The underdog is 3-1-1 against the spread in the last five meetings of these two.

BYU is the better team here and it’s tough not to like a team that can run the ball behind a massive offensive lines but their wins haven’t been overwhelming and Hawaii while they aren’t winning as much as they are accustomed to, they aren’t getting blown out. Getting better than a touchdown the points could factor here.

Pick

Hawaii Warriors +8 BYU Cougars

December 2, 2011 by : Posted in College Football, Sportsbook No Comments

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