Dallas Cowboys vs. Arizona Cardinals
The Arizona Cardinals look to make it two wins in a row as they host the Dallas Cowboys. The Cowboys are -5.5 point favorites over the Cardinals with an over/under point total set at 45.5.
It’s been a disappointing year for the Arizona Cardinals but quietly they have won three of their last four games. Arizona has been involved in more close games than anyone but they have been on the wrong end of the final score too often. John Skelton has been filling in for the injured Kevin Kolb and while his numbers aren’t impressive it’s tough to argue with winning though it’s possible Kolb will be back this week. Beanie Wells is coming off of a career game and for the season he is averaging 4.7 yards per carry for 849 yards and eight touchdowns. Larry Fitzgerald is still one of the best receivers in the game catching 51 passes with six touchdowns, Early Doucet has 43 catches and four touchdowns, and Andre Roberts has 27 catches. The Cardinals defense has 24 sacks, seven fumble recoveries, and nine interceptions and a minus eight turnover differential and they are allowing 373.6 yards and 23.3 points. Paris Lenon has 68 tackles, Daryl Washington has 65 tackles, and Calais Campbell has five sacks. Arizona isn’t a playoff team this year which is a disappointment to them but they are still playing hard.
The Dallas Cowboys are starting to put it together as they have won four games in a row and five of their last six. Dallas is all alone in first place in the NFC East and control their own destiny after missing the playoffs last season. Tony Romo has completed 64.5 percent of his passes for 3,026 yards with 21 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Rookie Demarco Murray is emerging as a star averaging 5.7 yards per carry and racking up 834 yards while catching 25 passes. Jason Witten is still Romo’s favorite target with 56 catches and five touchdowns, Dez Bryant has 38 catches and six touchdowns, and Laurent Robinson has 38 catches and seven touchdowns. Defensively the Cowboys have 30 sacks, 11 fumble recoveries, and 14 interceptions for a plus five turnover margin while allowing 331 yards and 20.5 points per game. Sean Lee has 72 tackles, DeMarcus Ware has 14 sacks, and Terrance Newman has four interceptions. Dallas looks to be playing their best football of the season right now and has found a way to win the close ones.
Arizona is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games overall, 2-6 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 1-4 against the spread as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. Dallas is 3-12-1 against the spread in their last 16 games as a favorite, 1-5-1 against the spread in their last seven games against NFC teams, and 1-6 against the spread following a win. The home team has covered in four of the last five meetings of these two teams.
While Dallas is playing winning football they certainly haven’t looked invincible and I look for the Cardinals to win this game outright with solid defense. While there is some value in the money line with the Cowboys ability to pull games out this year taking the points is the better play.
Arizona Cardinals +5.5 Dallas Cowboys