Connecticut Huskies vs. Fairfield Stags
The Connecticut Huskies play their final game before starting their Big East schedule as they host the Fairfield Stags. The Huskies are -11 point favorites over the Stags.
A season after winning the NCAA Tournament Jim Calhoun’s UConn Huskies appear to be tough once again as they have lost just once this season. While UConn has played a difficult schedule, ranked 34th in the country, and it doesn’t appear to get any easier, they are ranked in the top 10 and look like they are a contender. Jeremy Lamb is averaging 19.0 points and 4.7 rebounds, Shabazz Napier is averaging 14.6 points and 6.9 assists, Andre Drummond is averaging 9.4 points and 6.2 rebounds, and Tyler Olander is averaging 7.5 points and 6.4 rebounds. As a team Connecticut is averaging 74.8 points and they are shooting 48.8 percent while defensively they are allowing 61.5 points and their opponents shoot just 35.7 percent. While the toughest part of their schedule is ahead in the Big East, with sharp shooting and defense they should be able to play with anyone.
The Fairfield Stags have won their last four games and Sydney Johnson’s team is already 2-0 in MAAC play. While Fairfield plays in a lower conference, they have played a more than reasonable schedule ranking 64th in the nation. Rakeem Sanders is averaging 16.3 points and 8.2 rebounds, Derek Needham is averaging 11.3 points, Ryan Olander is averaging 11.9 points and 4.1 rebounds, and Maurice Barrow is averaging 8.9 points and 5.5 rebounds. As a team the Stags are averaging just 64.4 points per game as they shoot 45.7 percent from the floor while defensively they are allowing 60.7 points per game and their opponents shoot 40 percent. Fairfield is 2-1 on the road but they haven’t beaten a team with a RPI better than 100.
UConn is 14-4 against the spread in their last 18 non-conference games, 13-4 against the spread in their last 17 games overall, and 12-2 against the spread against a team with a winning record. Fairfield is 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games against the Big East, 2-5 against the spread in their last seven non-conference games, and 1-5 against the spread in their last six games against a team with a winning record.
While UConn doesn’t blow a lot of teams out with the number here at 11 I am inclined to lay the points with Huskies as the talent level difference is just too big and Fairfield just hasn’t played this level of competition.
Connecticut Huskies -11 Fairfield Huskies
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