Butler Bulldogs vs. Purdue Boilermakers
The Purdue Boilermakers and the Butler Bulldogs battle it out in an all Indiana matchup on the hardwood on Saturday. The Boilermakers are -8.5 point favorites over the Bulldogs with an over/under point total set at 129.
The Purdue Boilermakers are in the process of rebuilding but at the same time Matt Painter looks to have a team that can compete game in and game out. While some of the stars of the past few years are gone Purdue still has talent up and down their roster. Robbie Hummel is averaging 18.3 points and 5.5 rebounds, Ryne Smith is averaging 10.8 points, Lewis Jackson is averaging 10.6 points and 4.0 assists, and Kelsey Barlow is averaging 7.9 points and 4.5 rebounds. As a team Purdue is averaging 74.4 points and they are shooting 44 percent from the floor while defensively they are allowing 59.3 points and they are shooting 39.4 percent. After this one Purdue will have 11 days and game to prepare for the start of their Big Ten schedule.
After going to the Final Four and playing in the finals of the NCAA Tournament the Butler Bulldogs are taking a step back this year. While Brad Stevens has some top notch recruits coming in this year, all the benefit of Butler’s recent post season success, it takes a few years for a smaller program to move into auto pilot as far as a talent pool after initially arriving on the college basketball scene. Butler enters this one having lost three in a row and four of their last five and barring another epic run it doesn’t look like they will be back in March Madness, at least not this year. Khyle Marshall is averaging 10.5 points and 4.5 rebounds, Chrishawn Hopkins is averaging 10.4 points, Andrew Smith is averaging 9.9 points and 6.3 rebounds, and Ronald Nored averages 5.1 assists per game. As a team Butler is averaging 65.6 points and they shoot 38.5 percent from the floor while defensively they allow 63.9 points and their opponents shoot 41.9 percent. Butler will use this year to get more players solid experience while they wait for their front line players to arrive.
Butler is 0-7-1 against the spread in their last eight games overall, 16-5 against the spread in their last 21 neutral site games, and 0-6-1 against the spread in their last seven non-conference games. Purdue is 6-2 against the spread in their last eight against Horizon League teams, 2-6 against the spread in their last eight neutral site games, and 0-4 against the spread following a cover.
The total in this one looks to be a shade low and while I don’t love the play I will go with the over.