Wyoming Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogs
The Wyoming Cowboys look for their sixth win of the season and the chance of a major upset as they host the TCU Horned Frogs. The Horned Frogs are -19 point favorites over the Cowboys with an over/under point total set at 61.5.
After going bowling two years back and then taking a big step backwards last season, Dave Christensen’s Wyoming Cowboys are looking to get back into the post season. While Wyoming has five wins, two of those come against FCS teams so they are going to need two more wins to make a bowl game happen. Freshman QB Brett Smith has been better than anyone could have hoped completing 60.7 percent of his passes for 11 touchdowns with just five interceptions. Alvester Alexander and Ghaali Muhammad split time in the backfield with Muhammad averaging 6.5 yards per carry and Alexander scoring four touchdowns. Smith has spread the ball around with Robert Herron catching 33 passes, Chris McNeil catching 28, and Mazi Ogbonna with 22. The Wyoming defense has nine fumle recoveries and 17 sacks to go with their six interceptions and while they have had their moments, for the most part they have held their own. Luke Ruff and Brian Hendricks have 54 tackles each with Gabe Knapton has five sacks and Josh Biezuns and Korey Jones have four each.
While Gary Patterson’s TCU Horned Frogs aren’t the powerhouses we have grown accustomed to seeing they are still a very good football team and are in prime position to go to a decent bowl game. Casey Pachall has taken over at QB and he’s a more athletic QB than his predecessor, Andy Dalton, he doesn’t quite have the supporting cast nor the experience. Ed Wesley is a force in the backfield and though he has missed a few games he is averaging 6.9 yards per carry and he has the ability to take over the game. Josh Boyce is a home run threat at receiver with 42 catches, six touchdowns, and a 15.5 yards per catch average and Skye Dawson has 29 catches and four touchdowns. The TCU defense isn’t the same type of unit we have seen over the years but they still have their fair share of talent with Stansl Maponga with 5.5 sacks and the heart and soul of the team Tank Carder one of the few returning defensive starters from last year’s Rose Bowl team.
Wyoming is 9-3 against the spread following a straight up win, 1-6 against the spread as a home underdog, and 0-5 against the spread in their last five home games against a team with a winning road record. TCU is 6-2 against the spread in their last eight road games against a team with a winning home record, 21-7 against the spread following a game which they didn’t cover, and 6-2 against the spread as a favorite of 10.5 or more points. TCU is 5-0-1 against the spread in the last six meetings of these two and the home team is 3-1-1 against the spread in the last five meetings.
TCU is clearly the better team but I wouldn’t rule the upset out here if the Horned Frogs take the Cowboys too lightly as Wyoming isn’t a pushover. I wouldn’t bank on the outright upset but Wyoming looks like a nice option with the points.
Wyoming Cowboys +19 TCU Horned Frogs