Washington Redskins vs. Dallas Cowboys

Two NFC East rivals collide as the Washington Redskins host the Dallas Cowboys.  The Cowboys are -7.5 point favorites over the Redskins with an over/under total set at 41.

The Washington Redskins came into the season with high hopes but they are finding out life in the NFL isn’t so easy without an effective starting QB. Rex Grossman and John Beck have taken turns starting but both have had the same result, plenty of losing. Grossman gets the start in this one and thus far he has completed 57.4 percent of his passes with an unacceptable six touchdowns and 11 interceptions. With Tim Hightower gone for the season the running game has been turned over to Roy Helu and Ryan Torain but as we see so often  from one dimensional offenses with the lack of respect for Grossman’s ability defenses stack up against the run making it as ineffective as the passing game. Fred Davis leads the Redskins with 43 catches followed by Jabar Gaffney with 34. The Washington defense allows 337.1 yards per game and 19.8 points and they have 27 sacks, 12 fumble recoveries, and seven interceptions. London Fletcher has 80 tackles, Brian Orakpo has 5.5 sacks, and Ryan Kerrigan has recovered four fumbles. While Mike Shanahan was given full control of the Redskins, his leash may be shortening in the near future.

The Dallas Cowboys have had their share of ups and downs this season but right now they have won three of their last four and are starting to look like a team headed for a strong playoff push. Tony Romo is getting more time and in turn he has completed 64.7 percent of his passes for 2,508 yards with 16 touchdowns and seven interceptions. The Dallas running game has been a big help as Demarco Murray is showing he has all of the tools to be successful in the NFL averaging 6.7 yards per carry while Felix Jones has been on the mend. Jason Witten is still Romo’s favorite target with 49 catches but Dez Bryant is showing all of the reasons why the expectations were sky high as he has 32 catches and five touchdowns despite missing some action this year. The Cowboys’ defense allows 327.8 yards per game and 20.2 points and they have 23 sacks, nine fumble recoveries, and 13 interceptions. Sean Lee has 55 tackles, DeMarcus Ware has 13 sacks, and Terrance Newman has four interceptions. While the Cowboys have looked strong of late they haven’t been winning on the road and games at Washington have never proved to be easy.

Washington is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games against the NFC East, 0-5 against the spread in their last five games as an underdog, and 2-5-2 against the spread in their last nine home games. Dallas is 3-1-1 against the spread in their last five road games, 3-10-1 against the spread in their last 14 games as a favorite, and 1-4 against the spread against a team with a losing record. Dallas is 2-8 against the spread in the last 10 meetings of these two.

While the prospect of DeMarcus Ware chasing around Rex Grossman has given us a line where the road team is laying more than a touchdown, this is just too many points to be laying in a rivalry game with a road team who has had no success against this opponent.  I’m taking the Redskins plus the points.

Pick

Washington Redskins +7.5 Dallas Cowboys

November 15, 2011 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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