Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Kentucky Wildcats

The Vanderbilt Commodores and the Kentucky Wildcats each look to get within a win of being bowl eligible as they meet Saturday in Nashville.  The Commodores are -10.5 favorites over the Wildcats with an over/under point total set at 55.

The Vanderbilt Commodores are playing hard but they have still lost five of their last six games. James Franklin’s team has been improving but playing in the SEC improving isn’t usually enough to get it done. Jordan Rodgers has taken over at QB and it has given the offense a spark that they were lacking with Larry Smith who couldn’t consistently complete passes. Rodgers is also a threat to run but Zac Stacy has carried the load this season with Warren Norman not playing and Stacy has proven to be more than capable. Jordan Mathews is coming off of a big day at Florida where he had nine catches for 170 yards and a touchdown. The real story for Vandy this season has been the defense who has been ball hawkers and Casey Heyward is among the leaders in the country in interceptions.

It’s been a rough year for Joker Phillips and the Kentucky Wildcats but despite their troubles if they can win two of their last three games they will go to a bowl game once again. Kentucky is coming off of their first SEC win of the year as they dominated Ole Miss. Maxwell Smith had his best outing at QB completing 19 of 36 passes for 283 yards and two touchdowns. Coshik Williams had a big day on the ground rushing for 111 yards and two scores. Matt Roark and La’Rod King each had over 100 yards receiving last week as well as it was UK’s most complete game of the year. Top tier defensive talent is nothing new at Kentucky and Danny Trevathan looks to be the next in line as he leads the Cats in just about every defensive category.

Vanderbilt is 6-0 against the spread in their last six home games, 5-11 against the spread against a team with a losing record, and 5-1 against the spread following a cover. Kentucky is 4-1 against the spread in their last five road games against a team with a losing home record, 1-6 against the spread in their last seven road games, and 0-5 against the spread following a cover. The favorite has covered in four of the last five meetings of these two.

Kentucky looks to be improving and finding their strengths while Vanderbilt looks to convert their talent into wins.  I think Kentucky covers the spread and will be taking them plus the 10.5 points.

Pick

Kentucky Wildcats +10.5 Vanderbilt Commodores

November 7, 2011 by : Posted in College Football, Sportsbook No Comments

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