UNLV Rebels vs. Boise St. Broncos

The Boise State Broncos continue their quest for a National Championship when they pay a visit to the Nevada Las Vegas Rebels. The Broncos are coming in off of a bye after defeating Air Force in week eight 37-25 while the Rebels rallied past Colorado State 38-35.  The Broncos are -41 point favorites over the Rebels.

Boise State received a tougher than expected fight from Air Force but than again the expectations are so high for this team that it’s front page news when the Broncos don’t win by four touchdowns. However the facts are that the Falcons gave Boise State all they could handle on both sides of the ball. The Broncos totaled 423 yards and 23 first downs which is very low by team standards. The Broncos turned the ball over twice with a fumble ending up in their own end zone and another missed extra point giving me the feeling that this isn’t the 900 pound gorilla we grown accustomed to seeing. Boise didn’t run the ball all that much but were successful when they did with over 140 yards on just 26 attempts for 5 ½ yards per carry. Doug Martin continues to be the workhorse in the backfield with 125 yards on 21 totes with a touchdown but the passing of Kellen Moore was the bread and utter of this offense with another stellar performance from Moore. He went 23 of 29 for 281 yards with three touchdowns and an interception in what was even an average day for the Boise star. The Broncos defense allowed 408 yards and had trouble stopping the Falcons option which churned out 264 yards but didn’t run over the Broncos front seven with just a four yard average.

UNLV put an end to a three game slide with their win over visiting Colorado State but it wasn’t easy as the team got a touchdown run with under 1 ½ minutes left to win it. The Rebels got plenty of mileage from their 365 yards as they had fewer mistakes than the Rams and were more efficient in crucial situations. The best thing that could have happened from a Nevada Las Vegas view point was establishing a quality rushing attack which they did. The Rebels totaled nearly 250 yards on the ground and averaged over 5 ½ yards per carry. Dionza Bradford led the backfield with 122 yards on 21 carries with Tim Cornett chipping in with a more than complimentary 67 yards on only eleven carries. That enabled UNLV to keep the ball out of the air where the team has struggled. With that said quarterback Caleb Herring was very good albeit in limited chances going 9 of 13 for 90 yards with a pair of touchdowns and no interceptions. A 98 yard kick return supplemented the scoring and helped out the bend but don’t break defense that gave up 480 yards and 31 points but managed three takeaways.

Boise State is in a familiar position with a high national ranking with a need to win impressively on a weekly basis. The Broncos win this easily with simply the better team on both sides of the ball. UNLV will need to run the ball and avoid mistakes to have a chance of putting points on the board. However I think Boise State dictates the score.

Pick

Boise St. Broncos -41UNLV Rebels

November 5, 2011 by : Posted in College Football, Sportsbook No Comments

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