Texas Longhorns vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

The Texas Longhorns and the Texas Tech Red Raiders battle it out in Austin in a Big 12 College football match up.  The Longhorns are -12 point favorites over the Red Raiders with an over/under point total set at 62.5.

The Texas Longhorns may not be among the top teams in the nation this year Mack Brown’s team is far better than the team the Horns fielded a year ago that failed to make a bowl game. After trying out a dual QB system Texas has settled with David Ash at QB and while he has more interceptions, five, than touchdown passes, three, the most important thing is Texas has a winning record. The Longhorns are loaded with talent in the backfield with Malcolm Brown, Joe Bergeron, and Fozzy Whittaker all capable of contributing quality time on the field. Jaxon Shipley is the Horns’ leading receiver with 33 catches and three touchdowns and Mike Davis is next with 27. The Texas defense was huge last week against lowly Kansas holding them to two total yards for the first half and less than 50 yards for the game. Alex Okafor has three sacks and Adrian Phillips and Quandre Diggs have two interceptions each.

Two weeks ago the Texas Tech Red Raiders celebrated beating a top ranked Oklahoma team on the raod; last week Tommy Tuberville’s squad was blown out at home to Iowa State, a 15.5 point underdog. QB Seth Droege has completed 67.9 percent of his passes with 22 touchdowns and just six interceptions. The Red Raiders suffered a big loss when running back Eric Stephens went down for the year and DeAndre Washington is now the top option but thus far we have seen a significant drop off. As usual Texas Tech receivers are putting up big numbers as Eric Ward has 49 catches and Alex Torres has 41. The Texas Tech defense hasn’t done much this season and they are basically called upon to just make a few stops a game in hopes the offense can just outscore the opponent. Cody Davis leads the Red Raiders’ defense with 48 tackles and D.J. Johnson has 47.

Texas is 5-1 against the spread in their last six games as a favorite, 3-9 against the spread in their last 12 home games, and 2-7 against the spread in their last nine Big 12 games. Texas Tech is 5-1-2 against the spread following a double digit home loss, 6-2 against the spread as a road underdog of 10.5 or more points, and 3-7 against the spread as a road underdog.

Texas Tech is certainly capable of big things offensively but without Stephens controlling the ball is going to be very tough. Look for Texas to ruin the ball and try and control it that way and not make Ash compete in a shootout. The number here may be just a bit too high but it probably isn’t high enough.

Pick

Texas Longhorns -12 Texas Tech Red Raiders

November 1, 2011 by : Posted in College Football, Sportsbook No Comments

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