San Francisco 49ers vs. New York Giants
Two NFC division leaders face in off in a possible playoff preview as the San Francisco 49ers host the New York Giants. The 49ers are -3.5 point favorites over the Giants with an over/under point total set at 43.5.
Every year we get surprises in the NFL and this year’s biggest surprise is the San Francisco 49ers who have a five game lead in the NFC West. Jim Harbaugh is having a huge first year as an NFL Head Coach as he looks to have put together the pieces of a team many have thought have had the talent to win for several years. QB Alex Smith is playing well within himself as he’s completed 64.1 percent of his passes with 10 touchdowns and just two interceptions and his ability to keep away from the big mistake has been the big difference this year. Frank Gore continues to be one of the best running backs in the NFL as he’s averaging 4.9 yards per carry with five touchdowns and Kendall Hunter is contributing as well averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Vernon Davis leads the Niners with 31 catches and three touchdowns and Michael Crabtree has 30 catches. The San Francisco defense has 22 sacks, 12 fumble recoveries, and 10 interceptions and they are plus 12 in turnover differential. NaVorro Bowman has 76 tackles, Patrick Willis has 67, and Aldon Smith has 6.5 sacks. The 49ers aren’t doing anything fancy, just playing hardnosed football and winning games with solid blocking and tackling.
While they aren’t as big of a surprise as the 49ers, the New York Giants are a surprise as well as they have a two game lead in the NFC East. Eli Manning has been understated but efficient as he has completed 62.9 percent of his passes for 15 touchdowns and six interceptions. Brandon Jacobs has been forced to handle the bulk of the running game of late as Ahmad Bradshaw has been injured but Bradshaw could be back this week and he’s averaging 4.0 yards per carry to Jacobs’ 3.3. Hakeem Nicks also didn’t play last week but he is New York’s leading receiver with 38 catches, Victor Cruz has 34 catches and four touchdowns, and Mario Manningham has 27 catches. The Giants have 28 sacks, 10 fumble recoveries, and 10 interceptions with a plus seven turnover margin. Michael Boley has 56 tackles, Antrel Rolle has 55, and Jason Pierre Paul has 9.5 sacks. The Giants are coming off of a big win in New England and back to back road wins would solidify the Giants position overall in the NFC.
San Francisco is 8-0-1 against the spread in their last nine games overall, 7-0 against the spread as a favorite, and 6-0-1 against the spread in their last seven against NFC teams. New York is 14-6 against the spread in their last 20 as a road underdog, 1-4-1 against the spread in their last six games against a team with a winning record, and 19-7 against the spread in their last 26 road games against a team with a winning home record. The Giants have covered in the last five meetings of these two.
With the total set at 43.5 this one looks like an easy under as both defense should be ruling the day and points will be at a premium.