Miami Dolphins vs. Washington Redskins

The Miami Dolphins look for their second win of the season as they host the struggling Washington Redskins.  The Dolphins are -4 point favorites over the Redskins with an over/under point total set at 37.5.

A week ago the Miami Dolphins looked to be headed for a possible winless season; a week later they are favored to make it two wins in a row. QB Matt Moore finally put it all together last week at Kansas City as he completed 17 of 23 passes with three touchdowns but which Moore shows up this week, the one who was nearly flawless last week or the one who had just one touchdown and four interceptions going into that game. Reggie Bush is also coming off of his best game as a Dolphin rushing for 92 yards and catching three passes for 50 yards while Daniel Thomas has been called upon to get the tough yards all season. Brandon Marshall is one of the best in the game and he has 46 catches and Davone Bess has 28. If Miami is going to finish strong it will need to be led by the defense who were outstanding last year but up until last week struggled this year. The Dolphins defense has 20 sacks, six fumble recoveries, and just two interceptions. Yeremiah Bell has 64 tackles, Karlos Dansby has 52, and Cameron Wake has 5.5 sacks. Miami has plenty of talent on their roster on both sides of the ball but thus far Tony Sporano hasn’t been able to put all of the pieces together effectively.

The Washington Redskins have lost four games in a row and a season that started with hope is now turning into another season of disappointment. The Redskins have used John Beck and Rex Grossman at QB with neither having much success but currently it is Beck who has completed 60.6 percent of his passes with two touchdowns and four interceptions and he has been sacked 15 times. Washington has had problems at running back with Tim Hightower gone for the season, Tashard Choice already dinged up, and Roy Helu looking talented but not showing he is an every down back. Fred Davis has 40 catches, Jabar Gaffney has 31, and Santana Moss has 25 and each has two touchdown catches. The Redskins defense has 25 sacks, 10 fumble recoveries, and six interceptions yet they are still minus eight in turnover differential. London Fletcher has 72 tackles, Rocky McIntosh has 56, and Brian Orakpo has 5.5 sacks. Washington may be more than just starting to realize that their options at QB just aren’t going to get it done.

Miami is 2-8-1 against the spread in their last 11 games overall, 0-5 against the spread following a win, and 6-29 against the spread in their last 35 games as a home favorite. Washington is 0-4 against the spread in their last four games as an underdog, 5-2 against the spread in their last seven road games against a team with a losing home record, and 7-21-3 against the spread against a team with a losing record.

We have two offenses here that are unreliable on their best day and two defenses who have the talent to shut down the offenses they are facing this week and with the total set at 37.5 I look for this one to go under the total. Look for this one to be about as entertaining as the four combined wins suggest.

Pick

Under 37.5

November 9, 2011 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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