Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cleveland Browns

The Cleveland Browns and the Jacksonville Jaguars each look for their fourth win of the season as they face off in Cleveland.  The Jaguars are -1 point favorites over the Browns with an over/under point total set at 34.5.

While the Cleveland Browns don’t have anything to “rebuild” to, the building process continues for them. While the process of putting together a winner takes some time the Browns’ fan base is already growing restless with the current regime. QB Colt McCoy is gaining experience but his 58.8 completion percentage with 10 touchdowns and six interceptions isn’t translating into a lot of wins. Chris Ogbonnaya is getting the bulk of the action despite his 3.7 yards per carry as Montario Hardesty and Peyton Hillis are both injured and neither of them will be playing this week. Greg Little has emerged as Cleveland’s top receiver with 37 catches but no touchdowns, Benjamin Watson has 28 catches, and Josh Cribbs has 25. The Browns defense has been outstanding allowing 306.1 yards per game and 20.3 points with 19 sacks, eight fumble recoveries, and six interceptions. D’Qwell Jackson leads Cleveland in tackles with 82, Phil Taylor has four sacks, and Mike Adams has two interceptions. The Browns seem to have a long way to go to be competitive and playing in the NFC North among some of the NFL’s best teams they have their work cut out for them.

The Jacksonville Jaguars are in third place in the AFC South but with seven games remaining and strange twists already happening in the division, they are anything but out of it. Blaine Gabbert has looked like a rookie QB most of the season completing 47.9 percent of his passes with six touchdowns and five interceptions. Maurice Jones-Drew is averaging 4.5 yards per carry for 854 yards and four touchdowns but no other back on the roster with more than five carries is averaging more than 2.3 yards per carry. Mike Thomas leads the Jags receivers with 32 catches, Jason Hill has 19 catches and three touchdowns, and Marcedes Lewis has 16 catches. The Jacksonville defense is fourth best in the NFL allowing just 296.4 yards per game and 18.4 points with 21 sacks, eight fumble recoveries, and nine interceptions. Paul Posluszny has 72 tackles, Daryl Smith has 67 tackles, and Jeremy Mincey has 4.5 sacks. With Jacksonville’s ability to run the ball and play defense it’s never too late but they are going to need to improve the passing game immediately to have any hope at all.

Cleveland is 1-4-2 against the spread against a team with a losing record, 1-8-2 against the spread in their last 11 home games, and 0-7 against the spread as an underdog. Jacksonville is 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games as a favorite, 6-2-1 against the spread following a cover, and 5-0 against the spread as a favorite of up to three points. The road team is 5-2 against the spread in the last seven meetings of these two.

I like the under in this game between two poor offensive teams.

Pick

Under 34.5

November 17, 2011 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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