Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs

The Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos look for a win and for position in the AFC West race as they meet in Kansas City.  The Chiefs are -3.5 point favorites over the Broncos with an over/under point total set at 42.5.

The Kansas City Chiefs looked to be a team heading places as they had rebounded from losing their first three games of the season and had won four games in a row but they had no answers last Sunday for the previously winless Miami Dolphins and they fell back to .500 on the year. Matt Cassel has completed 61 percent of his passes but he has been inconsistent with nine touchdowns and nine interceptions. With injuries in the backfield Jackie Battle has taken over at running back and he’s averaging 4.4 yards per carry and has a touchdown. Dwayne Bowe is the Chiefs’ leading receiver with 39 catches and four touchdowns but rookie Jonathan Baldwin is now healthy and is making his presence known and Dexter McCluster is an all-purpose option who should be an integral part of the offense with Jamaal Charles gone for the year. The KC Defense has nine sacks, six fumble recoveries, and 13 interceptions but they are still minus one in turnover differential. Derrick Johnson has 62 tackles, Tamba Hali has six sacks, and Brandon Flowers has four interceptions. The Chiefs lack consistency and have some holes to fill but with the AFC West wide open they can contend this year.

The Denver Broncos seem to fit the mold of every team in the AFC West this season as it’s tough to know what to expect out of them on a weekly basis. After a miserable game two weeks ago Tim Tebow got his second win as a starting QB completing less than half of his passes but throwing for two touchdowns and no interceptions and running for 117 yards. Willis McGahee has been a force in the backfield averaging 5.1 yards per carry on the year and he’s coming off of a 163 yard two touchdown game last week. With the passing game struggling Tebow seems to favor Eric Decker and Demaryius Thomas but the chemistry just clearly isn’t there yet. The Denver defense has 20 sacks, six fumble recoveries, and six interceptions and the Broncos are minus five in turnover differential. Wesley Woodyard has 61 tackles, Joe Mays has 39 tackles, and Von Miller has 6.5 sacks. This season can easily go either way for Denver but with the West being wide open they are very much in the race for the division.

Kansas City is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games against AFC teams, 1-4 against the spread in their last five games as a favorite, and 0-4 against the spread following a double digit home loss. Denver is 6-13-1 against the spread in their last 20 games overall, 1-3-1 against the spread in their last five games against AFC West teams, and 1-5-1 against the spread in their last seven following a win. The road team has covered in four of the last five meetings of these two.

I like the Broncos getting the 3.5 points.  I feel as though they will find a way to get the win here.

Pick

Denver Broncos +3.5 Kansas City Chiefs

November 9, 2011 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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