Dallas Cowboys vs. Seattle Seahawks

The Dallas Cowboys and the Seattle Seahawks look to bounce back from losses as they meet on Sunday in NFL action.  The Cowboys are -12.5 favorites over the Seahawks with an over/under point total set at 42.5.

If the Dallas Cowboys hope to make the playoffs the need to start winning now as they hit the halfway point in the season and there are plenty of teams ahead of them in the NFC and they are two games back in the NFC East. At a certain point if they don’t start winning Dallas will have to question whether QB Tony Romo is the right guy to lead this team as he has had limited overall success and this season he has completed 62.7 percent of his passes with 11 touchdowns and seven interceptions which has added up to a losing record. The Cowboys backfield has been decimated by injuries and they may get Felix Jones back but last week it was DeMarco Murray and Phillip Tanner. Dez Bryant and Miles Austin along with tight end Jason Witten make a formidable group of targets for Romo but without the running game it just isn’t there for him. The Dallas defense allows 328.3 yards per game but against the better teams they have suffered second half collapses and last week in Philadelphia they were gashed. DeMarcus Ware has emerged as one of the top overall players in the NFL and has four sacks while Sean Lee is the leading tackler on the team. It’s still early in the season for must win games but this looks to be one for Dallas.

The Seattle Seahawks were a playoff team a season ago but it would take a huge run for Pete Carroll’s team to repeat that feat in 2011. The Seahawks offense simply isn’t getting it done this year as they have been outgained in nearly every game. While it didn’t happen in Minnesota Tarvaris Jackson is getting his chance to be a starter and he hasn’t made the most of it with substandard numbers including just 1,335 passing yards and six touchdowns and six interceptions. The Seattle running game has been non-existent with Marshawn Lynch averaging just 3.6 yards per carry and scoring just three times. While Seattle went out and got Sidney Rice and Zach Miller they haven’t helped the passing game where Doug Baldwin is the leading pass catcher with 25 followed by Rice and Ben Obamanu. The Seattle defense allows 340 yards per game as Earl Thomas leads in tackles with 47 followed by Kam Chancellor with 45 and three interceptions but they have gotten no pass rush with just 13 sacks.

Dallas is 4-0-1 against the spread in their last five games following a loss, 1-3-1 against the spread in their last five games against NFC teams, and 2-9-1 against the spread in their last 12 games as a home favorite. Seattle is 3-1-1 against the spread in their last five games as an underdog, 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games against NFC teams, and 0-5 against the spread as an underdog of 10.5 or more points. Dallas has covered five in a row in this series.

This isn’t a great game and I see far better spots on the board to be as Dallas can’t be depended on for any kind of consistency and Seattle isn’t any better. The Cowboys, because of their popularity, usually play with spreads that are falsely inflated so there is value on their opponents, hence their awful trend regarding not covering at home often. It’s just a lean to the Seahawks with the points here based on the value in the line alone.

Pick

Seattle Seahawks +12.5 Dallas Cowboys

November 1, 2011 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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