Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens

The Cleveland Browns look to get a home win as they host the Baltimore Ravens.  The Ravens are -7 point favorites over the Browns with an over/under point total set at 37.5.

The Cleveland Browns haven’t been too tough to figure out this season with all of their wins coming against teams with losing records. While hopes were high Mike Holmgren would turn this franchise around there aren’t many signs that the Browns are headed in the right direction. Colt McCoy has completed 58.5 percent of his passes with 13 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Peyton Hillis has been injured much of the season but he is back in action and should help open things up as defenses need to stack up to stop the power running game. Greg Little leads the Cleveland receivers with 47 catches, Benjamin Watson has 32 catches, and Josh Cribbs has 29 catches and four touchdowns. Defensively Cleveland has 22 sacks, 10 fumble recoveries, and six interceptions for a minus one turnover ratio while they are allowing 313.4 yards and 19.6 points per game. D’Qwell Jackson has 100 tackles, Ahtyba Rubin has 53 tackles, and Scott Fujita has 51 tackles as the Browns’ defense has been solid and by far the better performing unit. While building takes time, the expectation in Cleveland has to have been for better results than what they are seeing at this point.

The Baltimore Ravens are once again looking like a solid playoff team but they are hoping for much more and that this will be the year they get back to the Super Bowl. While the Ravens have plenty of young talent the window is closing for some of their veteran leaders and their number of chances they have left has to be limited. Joe Flacco’s progress at QB has been disappointing as he has completed just 56 percent of his passes for 13 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Ray Rice is one of the premier running backs in the game but he is averaging just 4.0 yards per carry while scoring eight touchdowns but he has caught 54 passes and scored twice more. Anquan Boldin has 48 catches and three touchdowns, Ed Dickson has 43 catches and three touchdowns, and Torrey Smith has emerged as a legitimate threat with 31 catches and five touchdowns. Defensively Baltimore has 38 sacks, 16 fumble recoveries, and 12 interceptions for a plus four turnover margin while they are allowing 292.3 yards and just 16.5 points per game. Ray Lewis has 68 tackles despite missing the last two games, Terrell Suggs has nine sacks, Lardarius Webb has 55 tackles and four interceptions, and Ed Reed has 39 tackles and three interceptions. Regardless of who is out and who is in the Ravens are going to bring a physical style of play every time they take the field.

Cleveland is 3-8-1 against the spread in their last 12 games against AFC teams, 1-4 against the spread in their last five games as a home underdog, and 1-6 against the spread in their last seven games against a team with a winning record. Baltimore is 3-1-1 against the spread in their last five against the AFC, 4-12 against the spread as a road favorite of 3.5 to 10 points, and 1-3-1 against the spread in their last five games as a favorite. The road team is 4-1 against the spread in the last five meetings of these two.

The total in this one is set at 37.5 and with two strong defenses and two offenses that are struggling there aren’t going to be too many points.  Take the under.

Pick

Under 37.5

November 30, 2011 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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