Chicago Bears vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Two teams looking to position themselves to make the post season meet on Monday Night Football as the Philadelphia Eagles host the Chicago Bears.  The Eagles are -7 point favorites over the Bears with an over/under point total of 47.5.

The Philadelphia Eagles have won their last two games but unfortunately for Andy Reid’s team it just makes them part of a three way tie for second place in the NFC East, two games behind the New York Giants. The Eagles seem to still be trying to come together as a team but if there is any coach who knows how to get it done it’s Reid. The Philadelphia offense averages the most yards per game of any team in the NFL but they are ninth in average points per game which just means they don’t take advantage of a lot of their opportunities. Michael Vick has completed 63.2 percent of his passes with 11 touchdowns and eight interceptions and he has run for another 422 yards. LeSean McCoy has been tearing it up on the ground with 754 yards and a 5.6 yards per carry average and eight touchdowns. Jeremy Macklin is Philly’s leading receiver with 40 catches while Jason Avant has 31 and DeSean Jackson has 27. The Philadelphia defense has been vulnerable allowing 330.6 yards per game and 21.7 points. Jamar Cheney leads the Eagles in tackles with 43 and Jarrad Page has 36 and Kurt Coleman leads the team in interceptions with three. The Eagles have a minus seven turnover differential which is the number they will need to improve on if there is going to be a post season this year for Philadelphia.

The Chicago bears head to Philadelphia off of a bye week and riding a two game winning streak after playing their last game in London against Tampa Bay. The Bears have a winning record but the NFC North has come up tough this season and just a winning record will probably not get it done in the entire NFC playoff picture. Jay Cutler has had more time in the pocket the last two games and it’s made the difference as for the season he has completed 59.1 percent of his passes with nine touchdowns and six interceptions and he has been sacked 21 times overall. Matt Forte is in a contract year and he is running like it averaging 5.4 yards per carry for 672 yards total and 38 catches for another 419 yards. Of the receivers Devin Hester is the leader with 21 catches and he is still a huge threat in the return game and rookie Dane Sanzenbacher has become a reliable target for Cutler. The Bears defense hasn’t been up to standards and they are 23rd in the NFL in yards allowed per game at 380.6. Lance Briggs leads Chicago in tackles with 55 and Charles Tillman has 52 and Brian Urlacher has three interceptions. The Bears are plus four in turnovers which has helped them get on the winning side of the win-loss column.

Philadelphia is 4-0 against the spread in their last four Monday Night games, 1-5 against the spread in their last six home games, and 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games overall. Chicago is 5-2 against te spread in their last seven Monday Night games, 4-11-1 against the spread in their last 16 games as a road underdog, and 5-2 against the spread following a cover. The underdog has covered seven of the last nine meetings of these two.

While we have two teams who are traditionally strong on defense neither of these defenses have been among the best this season and I look for the offenses to move the ball effectively and put up points and with the total set at 47.5 I see this one going over the number.

Pick

Over 47.5

November 4, 2011 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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