Buffalo Bills vs. Tennessee Titans

The Buffalo Bills and the Tennessee Titans battle it out in Orchard Park hoping to keep their playoff chances alive.  The Titans are -1 point favorites over the Bils with an over/under point total set at 43.5.

The Buffalo Bills got off to a strong start to the season but those wins are looking like a distant memory as they have dropped four games in a row and have slipped into third place in the AFC East. Ryan Fitzpatrick’s numbers have been on the decline as he has completed 64 percent of his passes for 2,549 yards with 19 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. With Fred Jackson gone for the year it’s C.J. Spiller’s turn to show what he has to offer and thus far he is averaging 4.3 yards per carry as he has just 170 rushing yards and 18 receptions. Steve Johnson has 54 catches and five touchdowns, David Nelson has 45 catches and five touchdowns, and Scott Chandler has 32 catches and six touchdowns. Defensively Buffalo has 16 sacks, seven fumble recoveries, and 16 interceptions for a plus four turnover margin while they are allowing 367.5 yards per game and 25.5 points. Nick Barnett has 86 tackles, George Wilson has 79 tackles and four interceptions, and Jairus Byrd has 73 tackles. If Buffalo is thinking post season the winning has to start again right here.

The Tennessee Titans are right in the thick of the playoff race and while if the season ended today they would be on the outside looking in at the playoffs they are still well within striking distance with plenty of football left to play. Matt Hasselbeck look sot still have something left in the tank completing 60.6 percent of his passes for 2,517 yards with 15 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Chris Johnson looks to be finally regaining his form and while he is averaging 3.8 yards per carry he has been much more effective than that of late and Jevon Ringer has also been contributing but he is averaging just 3.0 yards per carry. Nate Washington leads Tennessee in receiving with 49 catches and four touchdowns and Lavelle Hawkins has 29 catches. The Titans defense has 21 sacks, 10 fumble recoveries, and 10 interceptions and have a plus three turnover margin while they are allowing 353.2 yards and 19.2 points per game. Jason McCourty has 85 tackles, Jason Babineax has 73 tackles and with Barrett Ruud being banged up Colin McCarthy is emerging into a contributor. With the QB issues at the first place Texans the Titans may have a chance to win the AFC South.

Buffalo is 1-4-1 against the spread in their last six games against a team with a winning record, 0-4-1 against the spread in their last five games following a cover, and 9-3 against the spread in their last 12 home games as a favorite of up to three points. Tennessee is 4-0 against the spread against a team with a losing record, 4-1 against the spread in their last five games as an underdog, and 2-6 against the spread following a win. Tennessee has covered in five of the last seven meetings of these two.

Whenever these two meet the first thing that comes to mind is the Music City Miracle and then the Frank Reich comeback against the Houston Oilers, but in any event, back to this one. The total is set at 43.5 and while it seems modest enough, we are talking December in Buffalo so the weather could factor and even if it doesn’t, neither of these teams’ offenses have been exactly lighting it up of late.

Pick

Under 43.5

November 30, 2011 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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