Washington Redskins vs. St. Louis Rams

The St. Louis Rams look for their first win of the 2011 season as they host the Washington Redskins.  The Redskins are -1 point favorites over the Rams with an over/under point total set at 43.5.

The Rams had a short week of work and a short week of rest heading into last Sunday’s game against the Ravens and while we don’t know for certain how much it hurt them what we do know for sure is it didn’t help as they were waxed at home. The Rams were vastly improved a season ago but this year it looks like they are ready to take a step backward in hope it is all part of moving forward. The St. Louis offense is 29th in the NFL in scoring at just 12 points per game and 21st in yardage at 315.3 yards per game. QB Sam Bradford has completed 50.9 percent of his passes for 685 yards for just two touchdowns and one interception while being sacked 11 times. Steven Jackson is still hobbled but he should be getting healthier and ready to go for this one but in the meantime Cadillac Williams has been averaging 4.0 yards per carry. Brandon Gibson leads the Rams receivers with 12 catches followed by Mike Sims-Walker with 10 as it’s just clear this is an offense that is struggling. The St. Louis defense has eight sacks, three fumble recoveries, and two interceptions for a turnover differential of minus two. James Laurinaitis leads the Rams in tackles with 24 followed by Justin king with 22 and Quinin Mikell and Craig Dahl with 17 each. The Rams are clearly struggling as they are a few pieces short of being a complete team.

The Washington Redskins are coming off their first loss of the season as they let one get away from them on Monday Night against the Cowboys. The Redskins know they aren’t going to win them all but it didn’t make Monday’s game any easier as it was a game they had a chance to win. Rex Grossman had his worst game of the year Monday just making some bad decisions and bad mistakes but overall this may be the best Grossman has ever looked at the NFL level. For the season Grossman has completed 59.6 percent of his passes for 846 yards with five touchdowns and three interceptions while being sacked eight times. Tim Hightower is averaging 3.5 yards per carry while Roy Helu is averaging 5.7 yards on his 16 carries. Santana Moss leads the Skins with 16 catches while Jabar Gaffney has 13 and tight end Fred Davis is starting to emerge with 12. Washington has sacked opposing QB’s eight times, have recovered six fumbles, and intercepted three passes for no turnover differential. Rocky McIntosh leads the Redskins in tackles with 22 followed by the ageless London Fletcher with 21, and Reed Doughty with 18. The Redskins appear to be ahead of schedule and play a style built to go the distance and is going to be a handful for the teams on their schedule this year.

St. Louis is 9-20 against the spread in their last 29 games against a team with a winning record, 1-4 against the spread in their last five NFC games, and 0-4 against the spread in their last four games overall. Washington is 5-1-1 against the spread in their last seven games overall, 4-1 against the spread in their last five road games, and 6-19-3 against the spread against a team with a losing record. The road team is 7-3 against the spread in the last 10 meetings of these two and the underdog has covered in eight of the last 10.

The Redskins play it pretty close to the vest especially on the road like we saw on Monday Night and the Rams, well their offense just isn’t scoring many points so my pick here will be on the under.

Pick

Under 43.5

October 1, 2011 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

Comments are closed.