Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Georgia Bulldogs

The Vanderbilt Commodores and the Georgia Bulldogs meet on Saturday in a SEC East battle in Nashville.  The Bulldogs are -13.5 favorites over the Commodores with an over/under point total set at 54.

The Vanderbilt Commodores started their season by winning their first three games but since then they have dropped two in a row and look to get back on the winning track. The issues with James Franklin’s team appear to be on the offensive side of the ball where QB Larry Smith has been ineffective and disappointing. Jordan Rodgers sees some action each game but most of his notoriety is coming from being Aaron Rodgers’ brother than anything he has done on the field. Zac Stacy has carried the bulk of the weight in the backfield and while he is a nice back, he isn’t quite Warren Norman who hasn’t played this year. Smith’s ineffectiveness leaks over to the receiving game where Wesley Tate looked to be able to possibly get something done and Jonathan Krause and Udom Umoh have experience. The Vandy defense as Casey Heyward has four interceptions and Trey Wilson has three of the Commodores 14 total. Chris Marve has 40 tackles and Chase Garnham has 33 but the defense can’t get it done alone. Vandy is half way to bowl eligibility but if the offense doesn’t do something fast they probably won’t make it.

The Georgia Bulldogs are in the process of overcoming a rough start to the season and are playing their best football. The Dawgs went into Tennessee last week and while they put just 20 points on the board they held the Vols to 12 in a game that wasn’t as competitive as the score. QB Aaron Murray is starting to look more comfortable in Mark Richt’s system and more importantly he is avoiding the big mistakes which turn games around. Isaiah Crowell has shown plenty of flashes of greatness but some of his best runs have been called back for penalties but Richt and the Bulldog fans hope that just keeps him in Athens longer. Malcolm Mitchell had a huge day in Knoxville with 125 receiving yards and Tavarres King had five catches. The Georgia defense was young and inexperienced when the season started and they are improving as well with Michael Gilliard leading UGA with 40 tackles, Jarvis Jones has 33, and Shawn Williams has 28. Georgia is playing better than any team in the SEC East right now.

Vandy is 3-9 against the spread in their last 12 games overall, 1-9 against the spread in their last 10 games as an underdog, and 0-7 against the spread in their last seven games as an underdog of 10.5 or more. Georgia is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games as a road favorite, 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games following a cover, and 1-5 against the spread against a team with a winning record. The road team is 11-5 against the spread in the last 16 meetings of these two.

I look for the Vandy defense to stand tall once again and after facing Bama last week they are well prepared for anything they will see here. The Vandy offense can’t possibly play worse than what they have been doing so I look for them to play well enough to get a cover here.

Pick

Vanderbilt Commodores +13.5 Georgia Bulldogs

October 12, 2011 by : Posted in College Football, Sportsbook No Comments

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