Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma Sooners

The Red River Rivalry is renewed as the Texas Longhorns and the Oklahoma Sooners meet at the Texas State Fair Grounds.  The Sooners are -9.5 point favorites over the Longhorns with an over/under point total set at 56.5.

The Texas Longhorns are on a mission to erase the memories of last season, a season so bad the Longhorns uncharacteristically missed going to a bowl game. Case McCoy and David Ash are both playing QB for Texas this season as Mack Brown never could decide who his QB is this season but so far it has worked as the Horns are undefeated. For the season McCoy has completed 70.3 percent of his passes for 335 yards and two touchdowns while Ash has completed 68.4 percent of his passes for 213 yards and two touchdowns. Malcolm Brown has been the Longhorns primary ball carrier averaging 4.9 yards per carry for 327 yards and a touchdown and Fozzy Whittaker is averaging 5.0 yards per carry for 141 yards and four touchdowns. Jaxson Shipley has 16 catches for 280 yards and two touchdowns and D.J. Grant has eight catches with three of them going for scores. The Texas defense has six interceptions, five sacks, and has recovered five fumbles for a plus six in turnovers which explains the quick turnaround. Emmanuel Acho has 43 tackles, Kenny Vaccaro has 31 tackles, and Keenan Robinson has 27 to set the tone for the UT defense. If Texas can avoid the costly turnovers and make some plays here and there they have enough speed and talent on their roster to at least hang with any team int eh nation.

The Oklahoma Sooners are regarded by some as the number one team in the nation and regardless of where they are ranked Bob Stoops and his team know that if they continue to take care of business this season they will have a chance to play for the National Championship. QB Landry Jones has been nothing short of outstanding as the Heisman Trophy candidate has completed 71.6 percent of his passes for 1447 yards with 10 touchdowns and five interceptions. Dom Whaley has been the primary rushing option for Oklahoma averaging 5.4 yards per carry for 379 yards and seven touchdowns. Ryan Broyles and Kenny Stills make up as good of a receiving tandem as there is in the country with Broyles having 38 receptions for 476 yards and six touchdowns and Stills returning from injury after missing a few games this year has 14 catches for 205 yards and two touchdowns. The Sooners defense has seven interceptions, three fumble recoveries, and 11 sacks. Ronnell Lewis has 27 tackles, Tom Wort has 25, and Tony Jefferson and Javon Harris each have 24. This is the year the Sooners have been building to where they have a legitimate shot at the championship if they can avoid the stumbles which have got them in recent years.

Texas is 6-13 against the spread in their last 19 games overall, 1-4 against the spread in their last five games as an underdog, and 0-5-1 against the spread in their last six neutral site games. Oklahoma is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games as a favorite, 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games against a team with a winning record, and 4-9 against the spread following a cover. The underdog is 3-1-1 against the spread in the last five meetings of these two.

While Oklahoma has been dominant this season and Texas is coming off of a down year, this game is such a rivalry it’s generally much closer than it figures on paper which explains why the underdog has ruled when it comes to the cover. I believe the trend continues here and the play is taking the points which are headed to double digits in most places.

Pick

Texas Longhorns +9.5 Oklahoma Sooners

October 6, 2011 by : Posted in College Football, Sportsbook No Comments

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