Texas A&M Aggies vs. Iowa St. Cyclones

The Iowa State Cyclones look to bounce back from their third loss in a row as they host the Texas A&M Aggies in Big 12 College Football action Saturday.  The Aggies are -21 point favorites over the Cyclones with an over/under point total set at 55.

The Iowa State Cyclones started the season with three consecutive wins and it seemed reasonable at the time that Paul Rhoads team was on a collision course with bowl eligibility but since then it’s been three losses with the post season looking like it might be a reach. QB Steele Jantz has 10 touchdown passes but he didn’t have any last week and he was replaced by Jared Barnett. ISU’s best back, Shontrelle Johnson, missed last week’s game and could miss this one as well and while James White isn’t bad, he isn’t quite at the same level as Johnson. Darius Reynolds leads the receivers with 28 catches and six touchdowns and Josh Lenz has 20 catches and two TD’s, the pair of 6’5” receivers need to have someone who can get them the ball. The Cyclones defense has been torched for 49 and 52 points their last two games and while they won a high scoring game against Iowa earlier this year, the offense can’t be relied upon to put up those kind of numbers. Jake Knott has 63 tackles and Jacques Washington has 51 but with just seven takeaways this season they will need to get better.

Mike Sherman’s Texas A&M Aggies were at a crossroads last week in their game against Baylor as they had blown big leads for earlier this year and held on the prior week against Texas Tech but they came through with flying colors putting Baylor away. Ryan Tannehill is starting to show some of his running skills that made him an effective receiver but now with 13 TD passes and 1,742 yards he is proving to be an effective QB who can put up points and win ball games. The secret to Tannehill’s success is not secret at all, he has a lot of weapons to work with. In the backfield the Aggies have to backs who can get it done in Christine Michael and Cyrus Gray and at wide receiver Ryan Swope is coming off of a career day while Jeff Fuller continues to be one of the more under rated receivers in the nation. The difference last week against Baylor though was the defense being able to get it done late in the game. In losses to Arkansas and Oklahoma State the defense folded in the second half but last week against Baylor they got to Robert Griffin and didn’t allow him to beat them. Sean Porter is emerging as a defensive player who can destroy an offensive game plan and Trent Hunter leads Texas A&M in tackles with 39.

Iowa State is 2-5 against the spread in their last seven home games, 0-5 against the spread in their last five Big 12 games, and 2-6 against the spread in their last eight games overall. Texas A&M is 7-2 against the spread in their last nine Big 12 games, 1-4 against the spread in their last five games as a favorite, and 4-10 against the spread in their last 14 road games. Texas A&M is 5-2 against the spread in the last seven meetings of these two.

Texas A&M has gotten it into gear when playing lesser opponents and they get one here but going on the road with a bad coach like Mike Sherman always makes games tougher than they should and need to be. I think the Aggies should get the win but they get a scare at the very least and if they don’t stay focused it could be an even worse result.

Pick

Iowa St Cyclones +21 Texas A&M Aggies

October 18, 2011 by : Posted in College Football, Sportsbook No Comments

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