Tennessee Volunteers vs. LSU Tigers

The Tennessee Volunteers and the LSU Tigers battle it out in Knoxville on Saturday.  The Tigers are -15 point favorites over the Volunteers with an over/under point total set at 53.

Since the final gun sounded of their game with LSU a season ago the Tennessee Volunteers having been pointing towards this game. A year ago the Vols had the Tigers on the hook until a mad skirmish, an untimely penalty, and in what amounted to a “do over” gave LSU the win, this year Derek Dooley’s team will look to turn the tables. Tyler Bray has been  better than expected at QB but he struggled against Georgia last week and while he has 14 touchdowns, a 65.9 completion percentage, and 1579 yards passing, he doesn’t have the most important thing, a win over an SEC team. Tauren Poole has 325 yards on the ground but he probably won’t go here due to a hamstring injury and Marlin Lane Jr. will probably replace him. Da’Rick Rogers has 32 receptions for 513 yards and six touchdowns but he failed to find the endzone last week. There are some concerns on defense for UT as they were gouged last week on the ground but Austin Johnson leads the team in tackles with 34 followed by Prentiss Waggner with 26.

The LSU Tigers are rolling, undefeated, and are considered by some the number one team in the nation. It seems that Les Miles’ biggest problem these days is deciding which of his talented players get to see the field when Jarrett Lee has been starting at QB but with Jordan Jefferson back on the roster will Miles stay the course or will he switch to Jefferson who played some last week against Florida. Spencer Ware and Michael Ford have been outstanding in the backfield and either of the two could go it alone in the backfield if they ever needed to. Rueben Randle has been outstanding and is an NFL quality receiver and converted QB Russell Shepard is always a threat. While the LSU offense gets it done, the defense has set the tone and has been extremely tough. The LSU defense has six fumble recoveries, eight interceptions, and 13 QB sacks. Tyrann Mathieu is becoming a superstar with 41 tackles while Brandon Taylor has 34 and Eric Reid has 32.

Tennessee is 4-1-1 against the spread in their last six SEC games, 7-2-2 against the spread in their last 11 games overall, and 0-4 against the spread in their last four games as a home underdog. LSU is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games against a team with a winning record, 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games overall, and 1-4 against the spread as a favorite of 10.5 points or more. The road team is 4-0-2 against the spread in the last six meetings of these two.

On paper this one is all LSU but there is a reason they play the games and emotion will be sky high in Rocky Top for this one. The underdog has dominated this series going 4-1-2 in the last seven and getting better than two touchdowns, I’ll go with the underdog.

Pick

Tennessee Volunteers +15 LSU Tigers

October 11, 2011 by : Posted in College Football, Sportsbook No Comments

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