St. Louis Rams vs. New Orleans Saints

The St. Louis Rams look for their first win of the year as they host the New Orleans Saints on Sunday.  The Saints are -13.5 favorites over the Rams with an over/under point total set at 48.

The St. Louis Rams drafted number one overall two years ago and at the rate they are going this season, they look headed to the top five once again. The Rams spent that top overall pick on QB Sam Bradford who appears to have all of the right tools but he is injured and missed last game and his status here is questionable as well but if he can’t go it will be A.J. Feeley once again who was unable to move the offense in his start at Dallas. Steven Jackson is a workhorse at running back but he can’t do it alone as he averages 4.9 yards per carry find the endzone twice. The Rams’ receivers just havn’t gotten it done this year and while they acquired Brandon Lloyd they need other players to step it up as Danario Alexander is now injured as well and Greg Salas appears to have talent but he is clearly still learning the NFL game. The St. Louis defense allows 410.3 yards per game, 29th in the NFL, and they have 11 sacks, five fumble recoveries, and four interceptions. James Laurinaitis has 47 tackles, Quintin Mikell has 38, and Chris Long has three sacks. As big of strides as the Rams took forward last year they seem to be taking them backwards this season.

The New Orleans Saints have set their goal as getting back to the Super Bowl and overall they appear to be in early position to have at least a solid chance of accomplishing it though they have been inconsistent at times. The Saints are coming off of their most complete game of the season blowing out the over matched Indianapolis Colts. Drew Brees has become one of the best players in the NFL at any position and he has completed 70.9 percent of his passes for 2,477 yards with 18 touchdowns and eight interceptions while being sacked 13 times. Mark Ingram is getting the bulk of the carries and he’s averaging 3.9 yards a carry but Pierre Thomas is averaging 4.4 and still gets his share of action. Darren Sproles has 289 yards on the ground but he has 45 catches and two touchdowns as well. Jimmy Graham is Brees’ favorite target with 45 catches, Marques Colston has 26, and Robert Meacham has 25. The Saints defense is in the middle of the pack allowing 349.3 yards per game and they have 15 sacks, five fumble recoveries, and four interceptions. Roman Harper has 42 tackles, Malcom Jenkins has 33 and Jo-Lonn Dunbar has 30 and the Saints defense should improve as Jonathan Vilma’s health improves.

St. Louis is 1-5 against the spread in their last six home games, 0-7 against the spread in their last seven games overall, and 0-5 against the spread when playing a team with a winning record. New Orleans is 6-14 against the spread following a win, 1-5 against the spread in their last six games against NFC teams, and 3-10 against the spread when playing a team with a losing record.

I expect the Saints to roll in this one.  I’m taking the Saints minus the 13.5 here.

Pick

New Orleans Saints -13.5 St. Louis Rams

October 27, 2011 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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