San Francisco 49ers vs. Cleveland Browns
The San Francisco 49ers return from their bye week as they host the Cleveland Browns in Sunday NFL action. The 49ers are -9.5 point favorites over the Lions with an over/under point total set at 39.5.
The San Francisco 49ers are tied for the second best record in the NFL thus far and Jim Harbaugh’s team has to be the biggest surprise in the NFL this season. Niners’ QB Alex Smith hasn’t done anything too impressive, he’s just avoided mistakes as he’s completed 63.3 percent of his passes for 1,090 yards with eight touchdowns and just two interceptions while being sacked 16 times. Somehow Frank Gore remains under rated as he’s rushed for four touchdowns and a 5.0 yards per carry average while Kendall Hunter has rushed for a 4.5 yards per carry average while spelling Gore. Vernon Davis has been Smith’s primary target catching 24 passes while former first round pick Michael Crabtree has 20. The San Francisco defense allows 335.7 yards per game but just 74.7 of those on the ground and they have 17 sacks, seven fumble recoveries, and eight interceptions. NaVorro Bowman has 56 tackles and Patrick Willis has 47 to lead the 49ers and Aldon Smith has 5.5 sacks and Justin Smith has 4.5. The NFC West is theirs for the taking and it won’t take too many more wins for San Francisco to be playoff bound.
The Cleveland Browns are still in the building process and with their record at .500, it still remains to be seen as to where they are in the building process. Colt McCoy is still learning as a QB and he has completed 56 percent of his passes with eight touchdowns and four interceptions while being sacked 13 times. Last year’s star Peyton Hillis has been banged up and hasn’t played much and Montario Hardesty is back from his injury last season but he’s averaging just 3.3 yards per carry. Greg Little leads the Browns with 25 catches followed by Benjamin Watson with 20 and Mohamed Massaquoi with 18. The Cleveland defense allows 291 yards per game, fourth best in the NFL, and they have 16 sacks, six fumble recoveries, and four interceptions. D’Qwell Jackson has 54 tackles, T.J. Ward has 33 tackles, and Ahtyba Rubin and Scott Fujita each have 26. Cleveland has played tough and that may be the best sign that this team could be a team on the rise.
San Francisco is 5-0 against the spread in their last five games as a favorite, 6-0-1 against the spread in their last seven games overall, and 1-5-1 against the spread in their last seven games following a bye week. Cleveland is 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games as a road underdog of 3.5 to 10 points, 0-4 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 0-5 against the spread in their last five games as an underdog.
With two solid defenses points will be scarce in this one and with the total set at 39.5 I look for it to come in under that number.