Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Air Force Falcons

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish look for their fourth win in a row as they host the Air Force Falcons on Saturday in South Bend.  The Fighting Irish is -17 point favorites over the Falcons with an over/under point total set at 54.

After losing their first two games of the season the Notre Dame Fighting Irish looked headed for possibly a disastrous year but Brian Kelly has rallied his team with three consecutive wins. Tommy Rees has taken over as the full time starter at QB and while he has been far from perfect he has completed 65 percent of his passes for 1242 yards with 10 touchdowns and six interceptions. Cierre Wood looks to be headed for a big year out of the backfield as he’s rushed for 584 yards and five touchdowns while Jonas Gray has 326 yards and two touchdowns. Michael Floyd leads ND is receiving with 47 catches for 561 yards and three touchdowns and Tyler Eifert has 24 catches for 282 yards and two scores. The Notre Dame defense has five interceptions, one fumble recovery, and 14 sacks. Mati Te’o leads the Fighting Irish defense with 49 tackles followed by Robert Blanton with 29, and Harrison Smith with 28. In their two losses Notre Dame dominated play on the field but were done in by turnovers, something they need to avoid to be successful.

The Air Force Falcons blew a big lead last week but managed to pull the game out in overtime for their third win of the year in their first road game. Tim Jefferson is experienced at running the Air Force offense completing 70.2 percent of his passes for 493 yards and five touchdowns while rushing for 210 yards and four touchdowns. Asher Clark leads all Falcons rushers with 382 yards and three touchdowns and a 9.3 yards per carry average and Mike DeWitt has 180 yards and two touchdowns. Zack Kauth has 10 receptions for 122 yards and a touchdown and Joshua Freeman has seven grabs for 58 yards and a TD. The Air Force defense has five interceptions, 10 sacks, and have recovered one fumble. Brady Amack leads the Falcons with 43 tackles and Alex Means and Jon Davis have 27 tackles each. Air Force will try and use their discipline to take advantage of Notre Dame mistakes which is their best chance of getting the win here.

Notre Dame is 6-2 against the spread in their last eight against a team with a winning record, 4-1 against the spread following a win, and 4-15-2 against the spread in their last 21 games as a favorite. Air Force is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games as an underdog, 2-6 against the spread following a win, and 1-4 against the spread in their last five games as a road underdog of 10.5 points or more. The road team has covered six in a row in this series.

Both of these offenses have different ways which they get it done but one thing is for certain, they both do get it done well. The total on this game seems extremely low and at 54, the over seems to be a solid play.


Over 54

October 6, 2011 by : Posted in College Football, Sportsbook No Comments

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