New England Patriots vs. New York Jets

It’s a rematch from the 2010 NFL playoffs and an AFC rivalry game all rolled into one as the New England Patriots and New York Jets battle it out in Foxborough.  The Patriots are -8 point favorites over the Jets with an over/under point total set at 50.

The New England Patriots battled back from their first loss of the season in Buffalo as they headed out to Oakland and beat the Raiders by 12 points. The Patriots offense has been outstanding as Tom Brady is already putting together a big season completing 66.9 percent of his passes for 1553 yards for 13 touchdowns and five interceptions while being sacked four times. BenJarvus Green-Ellis lead the New England rushing attack averaging 3.9 yards per carry for 197 yards and three touchdowns while Danny Woodhead has 115 yards and Stevan Ridley is averaging 8.2 yards per carry rushing for 148 yards. Wes Welker has been Brady’s top target with 40 receptions and five touchdowns and Deion Branch has 16 grabs for 226 yards but Brady has been using his tight ends plenty with Rob Gronkowski having 18 catches with five touchdowns and Aaron Hernandez with 14 catches and two scores. Statistically the New England defense has been the worst in the NFL allowing 477.5 points per game but they have six sacks, two fumble recoveries, and seven interceptions. Devin McCourty leads the Pats with 32 tackles while Jerrod Mayo has 24 and Kyle Arrington has 22. New England will definitely have revenge in mind as the Jets ended their season a year ago.

The New York Jets started their season 2-0 but have lost the next two games since and are at .500 for the season and are facing their third road game in a row. While Jets’ Head Coach Rex Ryan is considered a defensive guru, his offense seems to have no answers and no solutions. QB Mark Sanchez has completed just 55.1 percent of his passes for 1005 yards with six touchdowns and five interceptions. The Jets’ opposition is stacking the line against the run and Shonn Greene is averaging just 3.1 yards per carry and LaDanian Tomlinson just three yards with Greene having the only touchdown between the two. Dustin Keller leads New York in receptions with 18 while Santonio Holmes, Derrick Mason, and Plaxico Burress have 13, 12, and 10 catches each. The Jets’ defense is allowing just 310.8 yards per game sacking opposing QB’s nine times, grabbing six interceptions, and recovering four fumbles. Bart Scott leads New York in tackles with 26 followed by Eric Smith with 24 and David Harris with 22. The Jets will need to come up with answers in a hurry or this one could be a route like they faced during the regular season at New England last season when they were drilled 45-3.

New England is 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games against AFC teams, 5-2 against the spread against the AFC East, and 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 games as a favorite. New York is 6-2 against the spread against the AFC East, 1-4 against the spread in their last five games overall, and 10-3 against the spread after gaining less than 250 yards the game prior. The road team is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings of these two.

While the Patriots are returning home from a big road win and the Jets are playing their third in a row on the road and coming off of a physical game at Baltimore, not all is as it seems here. The Patriots strength is lined up against the Jets strength and the weaker units face off as well and when a team’s weaker unit is their defense that usually means big trouble. This game is going to be a lot closer than people think as the Jets are built specifically to match up with and beat the Pats and while they may or may not win, they will at least keep it close.

Pick

New York Jets +8 New England Patriots

October 7, 2011 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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