Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans

The Tennessee Titans and Houston Texans hook up in an AFC South battle in Sunday NFL football.  The Titans are -3 point favorites over the Texans with an over/under point total set at 43.

The Tennessee Titans are playing their way through transition and while it seemed there was plenty of that going on in the off season for Mike Munchak’s team it’s hasn’t seemed to have ended. When Matt Hasselbeck was brought in to play QB it was to be a transitional guy until Jake Locker was ready but Hasselbeck has played well and it appears to be personal for him as well as he looks to prove he still has something left. Hasselbeck has completed 64.6 percent of his passes with nine TD’s and four interceptions. Chris Johnson hasn’t been the same running back following his holdout this year averaging just three yards a carry and nursing a hamstring injury but he should be good to go here and it’s just a matter of time until he is back in form. The Titans were dealt a serious blow when Kenny Britt went down for the season so it’s left to Nate Washington to be the number one as he has 28 catches and next best by a non-running back is Jared Cook and Lavelle Hawkins with 11 each so someone will need to step up in a hurry. Defensively Tennessee allows 326 yards per game and 18.8 points and they have 11 sacks. Three fumble recoveries, and six interceptions.

The Houston Texans have lost three of their last four games and Gary Kubiak’s team looks to put an end to that trend on Sunday. Texans QB Matt Schaub has been taking a beating of late in the pocket but he has completed 59.2 percent of his passes for 1597 yards with 10 touchdowns and five interceptions. Arian Foster was injured earlier this season but he’s back averaging 4.0 yards per carry but he has just one touchdown while Ben Tate is averaging 4.7 yards per carry. Houston’s star Wide Receiver, Andre Johnson, is still out with an injury so tight end Owen Daniels will be called upon again to step up as will Kevin Walter and Jacoby Jones but it’s just impossible to replace Johnson. Defensively Houston allows 328.7 yards per game and 20.7 points while sacking opposing QB’s 17 times, recording four fumble recoveries, and six interceptions but the defense is missing key pieces here with Mario Williams gone for the season and Danieal Manning questionable.

Tennessee is 4-0 against the spread following a game which they didn’t cover, 2-5 against the spread in their last seven as a home favorite, and 5-2 against the spread following a loss of 14 or more points. Houston is 1-4 against the spread in their last five games following a bye week, 0-5 against the spread in their last five games as an underdog, and 8-2 against the spread after scoring less than 15 points their previous game. The home team is 5-2 against the spread in the last seven meetings of these two.

I am not sold on the Texans and in an even match up like this one I usually lean to the team with the better defense. I can see Chris Johnson regaining his form on Sunday against the Texans defense.  I’m taking the Titans minus the 3 here.

Pick

Tennessee Titans -3 Houston Texans

October 20, 2011 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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