Detroit Lions vs. Denver Broncos

The Tim Tebow era continues as the Denver Broncos return home to host the Detroit Lions.  The Lions are -3 point favorites over the Broncos with an over/under point total set at 42.

It was on off season with a QB controversy and an outcry from the fans but it looks like the Denver Broncos have a clear identity, at least for the near future. While John Fox was hesitant to do it, he has inserted Tim Tebow in as the starting QB for the Broncos and though Tebow was ineffective for the bulk of his start at Miami he was effective when it counted rallying Denver from 15 points down with five minutes left to play to get the game to overtime and eventually getting the win; and a legend was born? In the win Willis McGahee was lost with an injured hand and maybe Knowshon Moreno gets a chance to take a page out of Tebow’s book at retribution and to make a statement in the backfield. Eric Decker is Denver’s leading receiver this season with 24 catches and four touchdowns but Tebow threw at Demaryius Thomas 10 times completing three. The Denver defense has allowed 366 yards per game with 118 of those coming on the ground while recording 16 sacks, recovering five fumbles, and intercepting three passes. Wesley Woodyard leads the Broncos with 48 tackles, Joe Mays has 38, and Brian Dawkins has 27 while Von Miller has six sacks. The crowd will be expecting more Tebow magic while the skeptics will be looking for the magic to wear off.

Two weeks ago the Detroit Lions were undefeated and now two weeks later, they have two back to back losses and are a team looking in desperate need of their bye week. QB Mathew Stafford was injured on the final play of the game and is questionable for this one and for the season he has completed 60.2 percent of his passes for 1,912 yards with 16 touchdowns and four interceptions and over the past several seasons when Stafford has been injured, the Lions have never found a suitable replacement and the seasons headed down the road to disaster. The Lions are thin at running back as Jahvid Best is out after suffering his second concussion of the year and it’s Maurice Morris carrying the load in what is a depleted Lions ground game. Calvin Johnson is simply one of the best receivers in the game and 10 of his 41 catches have gone for touchdowns while Brandon Pettigrew has 38 catches. The Lions’ defense allows 336 yards per game, 10th ranked in the NFL, while recording 17 sacks, six fumble recoveries, and 10 interceptions. DeAndre Levy has 59 tackles, Stephen Tulloch has 44, and Louis Delmas has 38 to lead the Lions but the defense just hasn’t looked as strong the past two weeks and appear frustrated at times. The Lions appear to be in trouble here and need to stop the bleeding now.

Denver is 0-7-1 against the spread following a cover, 1-4-1 against the spread following a win, and 7-18-2 against the spread in their last 27 home games. Detroit is 9-2-1 against the spread in their last 12 games overall, 3-7-2 against the spread against a team with a losing record, and 4-0-1 against the spread in their last five road games.

I like the Lions to win this game and win it quite comfortably.  Take the Lions minus the three points.

Pick

Detroit Lions -3 Denver Broncos

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October 27, 2011 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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