Dallas Cowboys vs. St. Louis Rams

The Dallas Cowboys look to end their two game losing streak as they host the winless St. Louis Rams in Sunday NFL action.  The Cowboys are -18.5 point favorites over the Rams with an over/under point total set at 44.5.

The Dallas Cowboys just haven’t been able to put it all together this season and while they are the only team to beat the surprising San Francisco 49ers, they have also blown second half leads in each of their three losses this season. Cowboys’ QB Tony Romo is bouncing back from his injury shortend season a year ago but he is still making plenty of mistakes throwing six interceptions to go with his eight touchdowns while completing 65.3 percent of his passes. Felix Jones is now the primary ball carrier but he’s averaging four yards a carry and has just one touchdown and he’s doubtful this week with an ankle injury and while Dallas would like to integrate rookie DeMarco Murray in more he is averaging just three yards per carry. Jason Witten, Miles Austin, and Dez Bryant give room a nice trio of targets but getting all three on the field at the same time has been the bigger challenge as injuries mount. The Cowboys’ defense is fifth in the NFL in yards allowed at 307.6 per game but they are 19th when it comes to points allowed at 24.2 while totaling 16 sacks, five fumble recoveries, and six interceptions. Sean Lee has 47 tackles, DeMarcus Ware has seven sacks, and Orlando Scandrick is returning from injury and he looks like he is going to be a force this season.

The St. Louis Rams are struggling once again this season and while last year they looked to be taking steps forward this year they have yet to win a game. The news gets worse for the Rams this week when QB Sam Bradford more than likely won’t be able to go and career back up A.J. Feeley gets the start in Dallas. Feeley has a world of experience but he has never shown that he can be an effective starter. Steven Jackson is healthy once again in the backfield averaging 5.4 yards per carry while Cadillac Williams may be the best back up Jackson has ever had. The Rams were desperate at receiver and they went out and picked up Brandon Lloyd this week and gave up on Mike Sims-Walker but they still need better production out of Brandon Gibson and rookie Greg Salas needs to develop in a hurry. The Rams are dead last in average points per game at 9.8. Defensively St. Louis is 30th in average yards allowed per game at 403.4 and second to last in points allowed at 27.4 but in all fairness to this unit they have been on the field too often as the offense has failed to put together drives or even gain first downs. James Laurinaitis leads the Rams with 39 tackles while Justin King and Quintin Mikell both have 28 each.

Dallas is 4-1-1 against the spread following a cover, 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 home games, and 1-4 against the spread against a team with a losing record. St. Louis is 0-4 against the spread following a game which they didn’t cover, 0-6 against the spread in their last six games as an underdog, and 6-2 against the spread against a team with a losing record.

I look for the Cowboys to win this one easily and cover the spread of -13.5 Rams team.


Dallas Cowboys -13.5 St. Louis Rams

October 19, 2011 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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