Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Vanderbilt Commodores

The Alabama Crimson Tide look to keep rolling along as they host the Vanderbilt Commodores for and SEC football game on Saturday.  The Crimson Tide are 28.5 favorites over the Commodores with an over/under point total set at 54.

The Alabama Crimson Tide are looking to avoid any slip ups as Nick Saban’s team is looking like a well-oiled machine and with many conference showdowns on the horizon, the goal will be to stay focused and of course continue winning. The Tide are coming off a huge win at Florida where they dominated the Gators in the Swamp. While there were big questions at QB with A.J. McCarron taking over he has played well within himself completing 62.5 percent of his passes for 919 yards and four touchdowns. Trent Richardson is looking every bit like a Heisman Trophy contender averaging 6.5 yards per carry for 622 yards and 10 touchdowns while Eddie Lacy has run for 406 yards and five TD’s. Marquis Maze has 22 catches for 262 yards but he has also been a huge contributor in the return game as a threat to take it to the house every time he touches the ball and setting up the offense with solid field position. The Bama defense has eight sacks, five interceptions, and three fumble recoveries and has been solid in every game holding their opponents to just 42 total points. Dont’a Hightower leads Alabama with 29 tackles followed by Mark Barron with 24 and Trey Depriest and DeQuan Menzie both with 17. Alabama looks to be solid in all areas and have to be considered a top contender to be playing in the BCS Title Game this season.

Despite losing their last game, it’s been a solid start to the 2011 season for the Vanderbilt Commodores. The expectations were muted for Vandy this season but the Commodores are half way to bowl eligibility but with the bulk of their SEC schedule ahead of them those wins aren’t going to come easy. The offense has been a struggle for QB Larry Smith who has completed 57.5 percent of his passes for 412 yards with three touchdowns and three interceptions. With Warren Norman still yet to play Zac Stacy is averaging 7.8 yards per carry and Jerron Seymour is averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Jonathan Krause leads all Vandy receivers with 15 catches but has just 80 total yards while Chris Boyd has seven catches with three going for touchdowns. With the Commodores’ offense struggling the defense has come through in a big way grabbing 14 interceptions, eight sacks, and recovering two fumbles. Chris Marve leads the defense with 32 tackles followed by Chase Garnham with 23 while Casey Hayward has four interceptions. For Vandy to compete against the better teams the offense will need to step up because no matter how opportunistic the defense has been we saw against South Carolina that they can only hold up for so long.

Alabama is 5-1  against the spread in their last six games as a favorite, 4-1 against the spread as a home favorite of 10.5 or more points, and 10-3 against the spread in their last 13 home games. Vanderbilt is 3-8 against the spread in their last 11 games, 1-8 against the spread in their last nine games as an underdog, and 0-5 against the spread in their last five road games. The road team has covered in four of the last five meetings of these two.

This is simply a ton of points but at the same time, will Vandy be able to find the endzone here? Against South Carolina the Vanderbilt defense stood strong it was a matter of three big plays where South Carolina got all of their points, we can count on the Tide for more than that. I think the Vandy defense makes a few plays and gives the offense a chance to put a few points on the board or will score themselves which is all they will need to get the cover with the points they are being given.

Pick

Vanderbilt Commodores +28.5 Alabama Crimson Tide

October 6, 2011 by : Posted in College Football, Sportsbook No Comments

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