Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Mississippi Rebels

The Vanderbilt Commodores and the Ole Miss Rebels meet for their first SEC conference match ups of the 2011 College Football season.  The Rebels are -1 point favorites over the Commodores with an over/under point total set at 50.

Two games into their 2011 season the Vanderbilt Commodores are undefeated and with a win this week James Franklin’s team can be half way to being bowl eligible. While Vandy took care of business in their first game against FCS Elon, they rallied for the win with a big defensive play for a touchdown to put themselves in position to win against UConn. QB Larry Smith was once again right at a 50 percent completion percentage throwing for 140 yards with a TD and two interceptions. Warren Norman didn’t play once again though it has been said that he should be ready to go but in the meantime it’s been Zac Stacy who carried 10 times for 58 yards and Jerron Seymour who carried eight times for 70 yards and touchdown. With Smith’s inconsistency receovers John Cole had three catches for 50 yards and Chris Boyd had two for 46 yards and a touchdown. While we can look at Vandy’s offensive numbers it was the Vandy defense that came up big against UConn. The Commodores allowed just 193 total yards and it ws Robby Barbieri’s 49 yard interception return for a touchdown that tied the score at 24 when UConn had the ball and a chance to seal the win. Vandy will have a chance for a conference win this week but it will take another big effort defensively.

The Mississippi Rebels had a chance to recoup from their devastating loss to BYU as they got an easy win at home against FCS Southern Illinois but now Houston Nutt’s team goes on the road in the SEC. While Randall Mackey was suspended for the opener Barry Brunetti was unimpressive and replaced by Zack Stoudt. While Mackey didn’t clearly win the QB job in the Fall, he may be the best option as apparently it’s between him and Stoudt at this point with Stoudt seeing almost all of the action against Southern Illinois. Ole Miss suffered a huge blow in the opener when they lost star running back Brandon Bolden and while Jeff Scott rushed for 118 yards and three touchdowns on 16 carries, Bolden is a huge player to replace. The Rebels look like they may struggle in the passing game this year but the standout receiver thus far has been Ja-Mes Logan who has led them in receptions both games. Vandy beat Ole Miss in Oxford last season so the Rebels know what Vandy is capable of on the right day.

Vanderbilt is 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games following a straight up win, 0-6 against the spread in their last six SEC games, and 2-7 against the spread in their last nine games overall. Mississippi is 9-3 against the spread in their last 12 road games against a team with a winning record, 2-6 against the spread in their last eight games overall, and 1-4 against the spread in their last five SEC games. The road team is 9-4 against the spread in the last 13 meetings of these two.

Vandy is looking like the better team right now and while they get healthier and stronger, Ole Miss looks to be getting weaker and loses to the Commodores for the second year in a row.

Pick

Vanderbilt Commodores +1 Ole Miss Rebels

September 16, 2011 by : Posted in College Football, Sportsbook No Comments

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