Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox
The Toronto Blue Jays and the Boston Red Sox meet on Monday in Toronto. The Red Sox are -175 favorites over the Blue Jays with an over/under run total set at 8.5.
At this point in the season the Toronto Blue Jay’s goal has been reduced to finishing above .500, a point where they currently short of right now. The Blue Joys have lost three in a row, are 3-7 in their last 10 games, and 33-34 at home this season. As a team Toronto has a batting average of .254 led by Jose Bautista at .309, Yunel Escobar at .290, and Edwin Encarnacion at .277. Asa team the Blue Jays pitching staff has a combined ERA of 4.24 with the starters at 4.53 and the bullpen at 3.65. For game one against the Red Sox Toronto starts Henderson Alvarez who won last time out to end a personal three game losing streak. For the season Alvarez has allowed 28 hits and 12 earned runs while striking out 21 over 30.2 innings of work.
The Boston Red Sox have a comfortable lead in the American League wildcard race but they would much rather win the division. The Red Sox are 5-5 in their last 10 games, 42-26 on the road this season, and trail the Yankees by a game and a half in the A.L. East. As a team Boston is hitting .280 led by Adrian Gonzalez at .340, David Ortiz at .314, Jacoby Ellsbury at .312, and Dustin Pedroia at .307. As a team the Red Sox pitching staff has a combined ERA of 3.94 with the starters at 4.13 and the bullpen at 3.56. For game one in Toronto Boston starts Josh Beckett who has won his last three starts and who is having his best season statistically as a pro. For the season Beckett has allowed 122 hits and 48 earned runs while striking out 149 in 170 innings of work.
Toronto is 3-8 in their last 11 games, 1-4 in their last five home games, and 2-5 in their last seven games against a right handed starter. Boston is 26-9 in their last 35 against the A.L. East, 13-6 in their last 19 road games against a team with a losing record, and 19-7 in Beckett’s last 26 starts. Boston has won five of the last six meetings of these two.
Going against Beckett hasn’t been a good bet this season and there is no reason to do it here. Take the Red Sox minus the 175.
Boston Red Sox -175 Toronto Blue Jays