Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Philadelphia Phillies meet on Thursday for game one of their series and a possible post season preview.  The Phillies are -155 favorites over the Brewers with an over/under run total set at 8.

The Milwaukee Brewers have a large enough lead in the National League Central that they don’t need to worry about making the post season but they would rather be headed there with momentum, something that seems to be waning. The Brewers have lost two in a row, are 5-5 in their last 10 games, and 35-40 on the road this season. As a team Milwaukee is hitting .263 led by Ryan Braun at .332, Nyjer Morgan at .313, and Prince Fielder at .293. As a team the Brewers pitching staff has a combined ERA of 3.65 with the starters at 3.68 and the bullpen at 3.60. For game one against the Phillies Milwaukee starts Chris Narveson who has won his last four decisions. For the season Narveson has allowed 144 hits and 68 earned runs while striking out 116 in 143.2 innings of work.

The Philadelphia Phillies are in cruise control and every time it looks like they are vulnerable or are slipping the slightest bit, they string together a few wins. The Phillies have won three in a row, are 8-2 in their last 10 games, and 49-22 at home this season. As a team the Phillies are hitting .254 led by Shane Victorino at .300, Placido Polanco at .278, and Jimmy Rollins at .268. As a team the Phillies pitching staff has a combined ERA of 3.06 with the starters at 2.90 and the bullpen at 3.45. For game one against the N.L. Central leaders Philadelphia starts Cole Hamels who makes his third start since returning from the DL. For the season Hamels has allowed 141 hits and 54 earned runs while striking out 169 over 185 innings of work.

Milwaukee is 40-13 in their last 53 home games, 40-17 in their last 57 overall, and 13-3 in Narveson’s last 16 starts. Philadelphia is 21-7 in their last 28 road games against a left handed starter, 6-1 in their lst seven road games against a team with a winning record, and 9-4 in Hamels’ last 13 road starts. Philadelphia is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings of these two.

Expect a playoff type atmosphere for this one and while the Phillies may be the best team in baseball right now, the Brewers are too tough at home to give this one away.  Take the Brewers plus the 135.

Pick

Milwaukee Brewers +135 Philadelphia Phillies

September 8, 2011 by : Posted in Sportsbook No Comments

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