Florida Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves

The Florida Marlins play their final few games ever in Sun Life Stadium as they host the Atlanta Braves for game one of their series.  The Braves are -120 favorites over the Marlins with an over/under run total set at 8.

The Florida Marlins have endured a rough season and while it’s goodbye to their old stadium, it won’t be a tearful one as they have been extremely poor at home this season. The Marlins are 5-5 in their last 10 games, 28-44, and comfortable in last place in National League East. As a team Florida is hitting .247 led by Emilio Bonifacio at .288, Omar Infante at .278, and Gaby Sanchez at .265. As a team the Marlins pitching staff has a combined ERA of 3.94 with the starters at 4.24 and the bullpen at 3.39. For game one against the Braves Florida starts Ricky Nolasco who lost to the Braves in Atlanta in his last start. For the season Nolasco has allowed 230 hits and 97 earned runs while striking out 143 in 197 innings of work.

The Atlanta Braves lead in the National League Wild Card is down to four games and with the season coming to close they are holding on for dear life. The Braves are 4-6 in their last 10 games, 40-35 on the road this season, and are trying not to think about the Cardinals who are breathing down their neck. As a team Atlanta is hitting .246 led by Freddie Freeman at .290, Chipper Jones at .285, and Brian McCann at .275. As a team the Braves pitching staff has a combined ERA of 3.43 with the starters at 3.67 and the bullpen at 2.99. For game one against the Marlins Atlanta starts Mike Minor who had a no decision in his last start, a game in which the Braves beat the Marlins. For the season Minor has allowed 81 hits and 33 earned runs while striking out 66 over 72.1 innings of work.

Florida is 17-38 in their last 55 home games, 2-6 in their last eight games overall, and 2-6 in Nolasco’s last eight home starts against a team with a winning record. Atlanta is 8-2 in their last 10 road games against a team with a losing record, 1-7 in their last eight game one of a series, and 5-0 in Minor’s last five road starts. The Braves have won six in a row in Florida.

The Marlins have just been awful at home and it’s only fitting they lose here as well.  Take the Braves minus the 120.

Pick

Atlanta Braves -120 Florida Marlins

September 19, 2011 by : Posted in Sportsbook No Comments

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