Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies

Two teams who started the season with big expectations play for pride as the Colorado Rockies host the Cincinnati Reds for game one of their series at Coors Field.  The Rockies are -150 favorites over the Reds with an over/under run total set at 9.5.

The Colorado Rockies never had the big run that has become their trademark over the years and instead just stayed mired in the middle of the pack all season long in the National League West. The Rockies are 4-6 in their last 10 games, 36-35 at home this season, and are 15 games back in the National League West. As a team Colorado is hitting .259 led by Todd Helton at .206, Troy Tulowitzki at .305, and Carlos Gonzalez at .299. As a team the Rockies pitching staff has a combined ERA of 4.38 with the starters at 4.59 and the bullpen at 3.98. For game one against the Reds Colorado start Jhoulys Chacin who has won his last two starts despite seeing his production dwindle over the second half of the year. For the season Chacin has allowed 141 hits and 68 earned runs while striking out 139 over 170 innings of work.

The Cincinnati Reds aren’t going to return to the playoffs and while many thought they were a year ahead of themselves last season, they might actually have meant next season. The Reds are 3-7 in their last 10 games, 33-39 on the road, and 14.5 games back in the National League Central. As a team Cincinnati is hitting .259 led by Joey Votto at .317, Brandon Phillips at .298, and Ramon Hernandez at .281. As a team the Reds pitching staff has a combined ERA of 4.11 with the starters at 4.35 and the bullpen at 3.62. For game one at Coors Cincinnati starts Homer Bailey who has lost his last two starts. For the season Bailey has allowed 109 hits and 54 earned runs while striking out 79 over 106.1 innings of work.

Colorado is 5-0 in their last five home games against a team with a losing record, 4-1 in their last five games against the N.L. Central, and 3-9 in Chacin’s last 12 starts. Cincinnati is 4-1 in their last five against the N.L. West, 3-7 in their last 10 games overall, and 2-6 in Bailey’s last eight starts as a road underdog. Cincinnati is 5-21 in the last 26 meetings of these two.

Bailey hasn’t been dependable and neither has Chacin but the Reds bullpen hasn’t been able to hold much down lately and that’s where they lose this one.  Take the Rockies minus the 150.

Pick

Colorado Rockies -150 Cincinnati Reds

September 9, 2011 by : Posted in Sportsbook No Comments

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