Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
The Cincinnati Reds and the Chicago Cubs finish off their series in Cincinnati on Thursday. The Reds are -160 favorites over the Cubs with an over/under run total set at 9.
The Cincinnati Reds are playing for next year as while they made they post season last year, they were well ahead of schedule and have a very young group of players. On Wednesday Ramon Hernandez and Chris Heisey homered while Juan Francisco and Edgar Renteria each had two hits as the Reds scored seven times on eight hits. On the mound Johnny Cueto left injured after allowing three hits in 3.2 innings and Sam LeCure replaced him and allowed three hits and two earned runs over 2.1 innings of work to get the win. For Thursday Night’s series finale Cincinnati starts Homer Bailey who won last time out to end a personal two game losing streak. For the season Bailey has allowed 115 hits and 55 earned runs while striking out 85 over 114 innings of work.
The Chicago Cubs are playing for next year and many of the members of the roaster and the organization are playing for a job as this is a team that will be going over a complete overhaul. On Wednesday Starlin Castro and Aramis Ramirez each had two hits and Carlos Pena and Marlon Byrd each had hits as the Cubs scored two runs on seven hits. On the mound Casey Coleman allowed six hits and six runs while striking out four over 3.2 innings of work to take his eighth loss of the year. For Thursday’s game Chicago starts Randy Wells who is pitching better than he has in his career winning his last five decisions. For the season Wells has allowed 122 hits and 62 earned runs while striking out 74 over 118 innings of work.
Cincinnati is 9-2 in their last 11 games as a home favorite, 9-2 in their last 11 home games against a team with a losing record, and 16-5 in Bailey’s last 21 starts. Chicago is 11-24 in their last 35 road games against a team with a winning home record, 8-3 in their last 11 Thursday games, and 6-0 in Wells’ last six starts. Chicago is 3-10 in their last 13 games in Cincinnati.
I think the Cubs have the better of the pitching match up and while I think the Reds are the better team, I’ll take the Cubs with the odds in really a pure pitching play.
Chicago Cubs +160 Cincinnati Reds