BYU Cougars vs. Central Florida Knights

Two teams looking to recover from upset losses in week three meet in Provo as the BYU Cougars host the Central Florida Golden Knights.  The Cougars are -3 point favorites over the Knights with an over/under point total set at 43.5.

The season started well enough for the BYU Cougars and coach Bronco Mendenhall as they managed a one point win at Ole Miss and loss by a point at Texas as they were 1-1 headed into the Holy War with Utah as a four point favorite. While the Cougars had looked decent, they looked unprepared and overmatched against Utah as they were shellacked at home 54-10. Trailing 14-10 at the half the wheels came off the cart for BYU as they allowed 40 unanswered points. Jake Heaps threw the ball 50 times completing 27 of them for 305 yards and a touchdown and an interception. The running game was almost non-existent as J.J. Di Luigi had just 31 yards, the same amount that Heaps and back up QB Riley Nelson lost getting tackled behind the line of scrimmage. Cody Hoffman caught eight passes for 138 yards and Ross Apo had five catches including a touchdown. The most disturbing thing for BYU was their own ability to stop the run as Utah simply ran all over them with John White IV going for 174 yards and three touchdowns including runs of 35 and 62 yards as the Utes ran for 25 2yards total. It isn’t going to get a lot easier for the Cougars this week as they face a Central Florida team that are bowl regulars.

The Central Florida Knights appeared to have the edge against the FIU Panthers going into their game in Week three and when they scored first George O’Leary’s team appeared to be on their way but their good fortune and celebration ended there as the Knights went on to lose the game. QB Jeff Godfrey looked like he still has a lot to learn as he just couldn’t get the big pickups throwing for 181 yards and running for another 141 but every play was a struggle. The Knights outgained the Panthers 300-238 yards but a fumble that went the other way for a touchdown and the first touchdown their defense allowed this season end up being their undoing as the offense never seemed to have any rhythm. The Knights will be tested in a big way for this one as it’s a much further road trip than usual for them and they are facing an opponent that is significantly larger than they are.

BYU is 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games overall, 2-5 against the spread following a straight up loss, and 1-5 against the spread in their last six September games. Central Florida is 8-0 against the spread in their last eight games following a loss, 13-3 against the spread in their last 16 road games, and 4-1 against the spread in their last five non-conference games.

This game looks to be played for the most part between the 20′s as both teams are physical and prefer that style of game so I look for it to be low scoring.  Take the under 43.5 here.

Pick

Under 43.5

September 23, 2011 by : Posted in College Football, Sportsbook No Comments

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