Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners
The Seattle Mariners and the Toronto Blue Jays both look to play out the season strong as they meet for game one of their series at Safeco Field. The Mariners are -155 favorites over the Blue Jays with an over/under run total set at 7.
The Seattle Mariners are coming off one of their best weekends of the season with back to back wins over the team with the best record in the American League, the Boston Red Sox. The Mariners have won two games in a row, are 5-5 in their last 10 games, and 31-30 at home this season. As a team Seattle has a Major League Baseball worst team batting average of .230 led by Ichiro Suzuki at .269, Brendan Ryan at .263, and Adam Kennedy at .241. As a team the Mariners pitching staff has a combined ERA of 3.63 with the starters at 3.57 and the bullpen at 3.81. For game one against the Blue Jays Seattle starts Michael Pineda who is looking to put together a winning record for a losing team in his rookie season. For the season Pineda has allowed 102 hits and 54 earned runs while striking out 137 in 136 innings of work.
The Toronto Blue Jays are coming off back to back wins over two of the best pitchers in baseball in Jered Weaver and Dan Haren but now they see if they can take that strong play on the road as they travel to Seattle. The Blue Jays have won their last two games, are 5-5 in their last 10, and are 30-30 on the road this season. As a team Toronto is hitting .255 led by Jose Bautista at .311, Yunel Escobar at .300, and Edwin Encarnacion at .287. As a team the Blue Jays pitching staff has a combined ERA of 4.20 with the starters at 4.51 and the bullpen at 3.59. For game one at Safeco Field Toronto starts Henderson Alvarez who had a no decision in his only start this season. In his one start against Oakland Alvarez allowed eight hits and three earned runs while striking out four over 5.2 innings of work.
Seattle is 6-1 in their last seven home games, 5-11 in their last 16 against the American League East, and 1-4 in Pineda’s last five starts. Toronto is 9-4 in their last 13 road games against a team with a losing record, 17-8 in their last 25 games overall against a team with a losing record, and 2-4 in their last six games following a win. Toronto is 4-10 in their last 14 games in Seattle.
This one sets up to be somewhat low scoring but the total is set too aggressively to the low side and this one should go over. Take the over 7 here.