Philadelphia Phillies vs. Florida Marlins
The Philadelphia Phillies look to start to close in on their magic number as they host the Florida Marlins for game one of their weekend series. The Phillies are -215 favorites over the Marlins with an over/under run total set at 8.5.
The Philadelphia Phillies can just about to afford to just go through the motions at this point as while they haven’t wrapped up the National League East they are going to be awfully tough to catch at this point. The Phillies are 6-4 in their last 10 games, 46-21 at home this season, and have a six game lead over the Atlanta Braves in the division. As a team Philadelphia is hitting .254 led by Hunter Pence at .322, Shane Victorino at .313, Placido Polanco at .281, and Chase Utley at .279. As a team the Phillies pitching staff has a combined ERA of 3.08 with the starters at 2.92 and the bullpen at 3.48. For game one of the series against Florida Philadelphia starts Roy Oswalt who has been injured for a good part of the season but looks to get ready for the post season. For the season Oswalt has allowed 103 hits and 36 earned runs while striking out 60 over 92.1 innings of work.
The Florida Marlins have been reduced to playing out the season as it’s been another disappointing year as they head into their new stadium next season. The Marlins are 2-8 in their last 10 games, 33-31 on the road this season, and they are 26 games back in the N.L. East. As a team Florida is hitting .245 led by Emilio Bonifacio at .284, Gregg Dobbs at .280, and Omar Infante at .279. As a team the Marlins pitching staff has a combined ERA of 4.15 with the starters at 4.52 and the bullpen at 3.47. For game one against the Phillies Florida starts Clay Hensley who has been hit hard all season and even harder of late. For the season Hensley has allowed 51 hits and 30 earned runs while striking out 33 over 49.1 innings of work.
Philadelphia is 42-14 in their last 56 games as a home favorite, 62-29 in their last 91 against the National League East, and 11-4 in Oswalt’s last 15 starts as a home favorite. Florida is 7-19 in their last 26 games overall, 1-4 in their last five road games against a right handed starter, and 0-5 in Hensley’s last five starts. Florida is 6-21 in the last 27 meetings of these two.
Phillies win this one big. Take them minus the 215.
Philadelphia Phillies -215 Florida Marlins