New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers
The New York Mets and the Milwaukee Brewers meet for game one of their series in New York. The Brewers are -155 favorites over the Mets with an over/under run total set at 8.
The New York Mets return home from the West Coast and while it has been a trying season, the Mets never quit and they have been hitting the ball well. The Mets are 4-6 in their last 10 games, 25-32 at home, and 20 games back in the National League East. As a team New York is hitting .266 led by Jose Reyes at .336, Daniel Murphy at .320, and Ronny Paulino at .294. As a team the Mets pitching staff has a combined ERA of 4.13 with the starters at 4.06 and the bullpen at 4.27. For game one against the Brewers New York starts Mike Pelfrey who hasn’t had a decision in his last four starts. For the season Pelfrey has allowed 161 hits and 76 earned runs while striking out 81 over 149.1 innings of work.
The Milwaukee Brewers have taken what was a tight and competitive race in the National League Central and have turned it into a route. The Brewers are 8-2 in their last 10 games, 17-3 in their last 20 games, but just 26-36 on the road this season. As a team Milwaukee is hitting .261 led by Ryan Braun at .329, Nyjer Morgan at .312, and Prince Fielder at .302. As a team the Brewers pitching staff has a combined ERA of 3.70 with the starters at 3.74 and the bullpen at 3.61. For game one at Citi Field Milwaukee starts Shaun Marcum who hasn’t lost since June 29th. For the season Marcum has allowed 128 hits and 58 earned runs while striking out 124 in 149.1 innings of work.
New York is 3-7 in their last 10 home games, 2-6 in their last eight games overall, and 17-5 in Pelfrey’s last 22 starts against the National League Central. Milwaukee is 8-0 in their last eight game one of a series, 5-1 in their last six road games, and 6-2 in Marcum’s last eight starts against a team with a losing record. Milwaukee has won four of their last five in New York.
This one looks like a pitcher’s duel and while both teams can hit it, these pitchers will keep it under the total.