Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox
The Minnesota Twins and the Boston Red Sox meet for game one of their series at Target Field. The red Sox are a -125 favorite over the Twins with an over/under run total set at 9.
The Minnesota Twins got off to a miserable start but after showing signs of making a possible run, they are now moving in reverse and appear to be playing for next year. The Twins have lost four games in a row, 2-8 in their last 10 games, 26-28 at home this season, and they are 10 games back in the American League Central. As a team Minnesota is hitting .251 led by Michael Cuddyer at .298, Joe Mauer at .286, and Alexi Casilla at .259. As a team the Twins pitching staff has a combined ERA of 4.42 with the starters at 4.31 and the bullpen at 4.66. For game one against the Red Sox Minnesota starts Scott Baker who has won six of his last eight decisions. For the season Baker has allowed 116 hits and 42 earned runs while striking out 115 in 125.2 innings of work.
The Boston Red Sox took two of three from the Yankees over the weekend and while the A.L. East is anything but settled, but as they enter the week they are in the lead. The Red Sox have won their last two in a row, are 6-4 in their last 10 games, and 33-21 on the road this season. As a team Boston has the best batting average in Baseball at .280 led by Adrian Gonzalez at .352, Jacoby Ellsbury at .321, and Dustin Pedroia at .310. As a team the Red Sox pitching staff has a combined ERA of 3.93 with the starters at 4.14 and the bullpen at 3.50. For game one at Target Field Boston starts Tim Wakefield who has been kept around to provide the Red Sox with a lot of quality innings and eh has delivered on that. For the season Wakefield has allowed 106 hits and 59 earned runs while striking out 58 in 106.1 innings of work.
Minnesota is 1-6 in their last seven home games against a right handed starter, 0-6 in their last six games as an underdog, and 4-1 in Baker’s last five starts. Boston is 7-2 in their last nine games on the road against a team with a losing record, 27-10 in their last 37 road games, and 5-1 in Wakefield’s last six starts. Boston is 7-15 in their last 22 games in Minnesota.
While the Twins have been bad, even at home of late, Baker has been the best they have to offer and I see him having the edge here. I’m taking the Twins plus the 105.
Minnesota Twins +105 Boston Red Sox