Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
First and second place in the National League Central battle it out as the St. Louis Cardinals host the Milwaukee Brewers in game one of their series. The Cardinals are -125 favorites over the Brewers and the over/under for the game is set at 8.5.
The St. Louis Cardinals have been playing hard and winning but they haven’t gained any ground on the Milwaukee Brewers of late in the N.L. Central race. The Cardinals have won four games in a row, are 7-3 in their last 10 games, and 29-24 at home this season. As a team St. Louis is hitting .271 led by Matt Holliday at .317, David Freese at .320, Lance Berkman at .292, and Albert Pujols at .283. As a team the Cardinals pitching staff has a combined ERA of 3.85 with the starters at 3.91 and the bullpen at 3.74. For game one against the Brewers St. Louis starts newly acquired Edwin Jackson who was shelled by the Brewers in his last start. For the season Jackson has allowed 155 hits and 62 earned runs while striking out 107 in 135.2 innings of work.
The Milwaukee Brewers struggled on the road for most of the season but over their past few road trips they seem to be overcoming the issue and look like a team that has a legitimate shot of making waves this post season. The Brewers have won four games in a row, are 9-1 in their last 10 games, and 24-35 on the road this season. As a team Milwaukee is hitting .262 led by Ryan Braun at .326, Nyjer Morgan at .324, and Price Fielder at .304. The Brewers pitching staff has a combined ERA of 3.88 with the starters at 3.91 and the bullpen at 3.82. For game one at Busch Stadium Milwaukee starts Shaun Marcum who has won his last three decisions. For the season Marcum has allowed 115 hits and 54 earned runs while striking out 116 in 135.2 innings of work.
St. Louis is 5-0 in their last five games against a right handed starter, 4-1 in their last five game one of a series, and 1-4 following an off day. Milwaukee is 5-0 in their last five game one of a series, 22-7 in their last 29 against the N.L. Central, and 4-9 in Marcum’s last 13 starts. Milwaukee is 19-9 in the last 28 meetings of these two in St. Louis.
I don’t see either of these pitchers able to hold down the bats the opponents brings to the plate and I see this one being high scoring, well over the total.